Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37207845›Full record

ArticleGastrointestinal endoscopy2023

Validation of a pre-endoscopy risk score for predicting the presence of gastric intestinal metaplasia in a U.S. population.

Mimi C Tan, Ahana Sen, Eugene Kligman, Mohamed O Othman, Yan Liu, Hashem B El-Serag, Aaron P Thrift

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gastrointestinal endoscopy, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Mimi C TanSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
Ahana SenSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
Eugene KligmanMadison Medical Affiliates, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA.
Mohamed O OthmanSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
Yan LiuSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Veterans Affairs HSR&D Center for Innovations in Quality, Effectiveness and Safety, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Hashem B El-SeragSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Veterans Affairs HSR&D Center for Innovations in Quality, Effectiveness and Safety, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Aaron P ThriftSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA; Department of Medicine, Dan L. Duncan Comprehensive Cancer Center, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
Baylor College of Medicine · USMichael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center · US

Funding

Tissue Analysis & Molecular Imaging CoreP30DK056338 · NIDDK · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Geoffrey A Preidis · 2001 to 2026
$28.3M
Development and Validation of an Automated Algorithm for Real-time Detection of Neoplasia in Barrett's Esophagus using a Low-cost, Portable MicroendoscopeK23DK129776 · NIDDK · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Mimi Chang Tan · 2022 to 2026
$993k
NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK129776NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK056338
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsSurveillance of gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) may lead to early gastric cancer detection. Our purpose was to externally validate a predictive model for endoscopic GIM previously developed in a veteran population in a second U.S. POPULATION:

methodsWe previously developed a pre-endoscopy risk model for detection of GIM using 423 GIM cases and 1796 control subjects from the Houston Veterans Affairs Hospital. The model included sex, age, race/ethnicity, smoking, and Helicobacter pylori infection with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of .73 for GIM and .82 for extensive GIM. We validated this model in a second cohort of patients from 6 Catholic Health Initiative (CHI)-St Luke's hospitals (Houston, Tex, USA) from January to December 2017. Cases were defined as having GIM on any gastric biopsy sample and extensive GIM as involving both the antrum and corpus. We further optimized the model by pooling both cohorts and assessing discrimination using AUROC.

resultsThe risk model was validated in 215 GIM cases (55 with extensive GIM) and 2469 control subjects. Cases were older than control subjects (59.8 vs 54.7 years) with more nonwhites (59.1% vs 42.0%) and H pylori infections (23.7% vs 10.9%). The model applied to the CHI-St Luke's cohort had an AUROC of .62 (95% confidence interval [CI], .57-.66) for predicting GIM and of .71 (95% CI, .63-.79) for predicting extensive GIM. When the Veterans Affairs and CHI-St Luke's cohorts were pooled, discrimination of both models improved (GIM vs extensive GIM AUROC: .74 vs .82).

conclusionsA pre-endoscopy risk prediction model was validated and updated using a second U.S. cohort with robust discrimination for endoscopic GIM. This model should be evaluated in other U.S. populations to risk-stratify patients for endoscopic GIM screening.

Indexed as

Helicobacter InfectionsHelicobacter pyloriPrecancerous ConditionsEndoscopy, GastrointestinalHumansRisk FactorsSmoking

Identifiers

PMID37207845
PMCPMC10524993
OpenAlexW4377030178

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.