ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2023
Estimated Effects of Amyloid Reduction on Cognitive Change: A Bayesian Update across a Range of Priors.
Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
- Updated by
Authors and funding
6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Introduction: Results of the CLARITY-AD and GRADUATE I and II trials rekindled discussion on the impact of amyloid-targeting drugs. We use a Bayesian approach to quantify how a rational observer would have updated their prior beliefs based on new trial results. Methods: We used publicly available data from the CLARITY-AD and GRADUATE I & II trials to estimate the effect of reducing amyloid on CDR-SB score. A range of prior positions were then updated according to Bayes Theorem using these estimates. Results: After updating with new trial data, a wide range of starting positions resulted in credible intervals that did not include no effect of amyloid reduction on CDR-SB. Discussion: For a range of starting beliefs and assuming veracity of underlying data, rational observers would conclude there is a small benefit of amyloid-reductions on cognition. This benefit must be weighed against opportunity cost and side effect risk.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.