Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37202843›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical entomology2023

The 2022 dengue outbreak in Bangladesh: hypotheses for the late resurgence of cases and fatalities.

Najmul Haider, Mohammad Nayeem Hasan, Ibrahim Khalil, Daniel Tonge, Shivanand Hegde, Muhammad Abdul Baker Chowdhury, Mahbubur Rahman, Manjur Hossain Khan, Rashid Ansumana, Alimuddin Zumla and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical entomology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.5field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Epidemiological Characteristics of Dengue Infection in Bangladesh: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Resurgence of Dengue Virus Serotype 2: Findings from the 2023 Bangladesh Outbreak.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
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  10. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 8 institutions in 4 countries.

Najmul HaiderSchool of Life Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire ST5 5BG, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5980-3460
Mohammad Nayeem HasanDepartment of Statistics, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet 3114, Bangladesh.
Ibrahim KhalilDepartment of Livestock Services, Ministry of Fisheries and Livestock, Dhaka, Bangladesh.ORCID 0000-0001-5065-860X
Daniel TongeSchool of Life Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire ST5 5BG, UK.
Shivanand HegdeSchool of Life Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire ST5 5BG, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7249-6795
Muhammad Abdul Baker ChowdhuryDepartment of Neurosurgery, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, FL 32610, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2145-0938
Mahbubur RahmanDepartment of Pathobiology and Population Sciences, The Royal Veterinary College, University of London, Hawkshead Lane, North Mymms, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8577-8281
Manjur Hossain KhanInstitute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research (IEDCR), Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Mohakhali, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Rashid AnsumanaDepartment of Community Health and Clinical Studies, School of Community Health Sciences, Njala University, Bo City, Sierra Leone.
Alimuddin ZumlaDivision of Infection and Immunity, Centre for Clinical Microbiology, University College London and NIHR-BRC, University College London Hospitals, London, UK.
Md Jamal UddinDepartment of Statistics, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet 3114, Bangladesh.
Keele University · GBShahjalal University of Science and Technology · BDBangladesh Livestock Research Institute · BDInstitute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research · BDNjala University · SLUCL Biomedical Research Centre · GBUniversity of Florida · USUniversity of London · GB

Funding

Department of Health
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Bangladesh reported the highest number of annual deaths (n = 281) related to dengue virus infection in 2022 since the virus reappeared in the country in 2000. Earlier studies showed that >92% of the annual cases occurred between the months of August and September. The 2022 outbreak is characterized by late onset of dengue cases with unusually higher deaths in colder months, that is, October-December. Here we present possible hypotheses and explanations for this late resurgence of dengue cases. First, in 2022, the rainfall started late in the season. Compared to the monthly average rainfall for September and October between 2003 and 2021, there was 137 mm of additional monthly rainfall recorded in September and October 2022. Furthermore, the year 2022 was relatively warmer with a 0.71°C increased temperature than the mean annual temperature of the past 20 yr. Second, a new dengue virus serotype, DENV-4, had recently reintroduced/reappeared in 2022 and become the dominant serotype in the country for a large naïve population. Third, the post-pandemic return of normalcy after 2 yr of nonpharmaceutical social measures facilitates extra mosquito breeding habitats, especially in construction sites. Community engagement and regular monitoring and destruction of Aedes mosquitoes' habitats should be prioritized to control dengue virus outbreaks in Bangladesh.

Indexed as

AedesDengueDengue VirusAnimalsBangladeshDisease OutbreaksSeasons2022 dengue outbreakBangladeshDENV-4rainfallserotype

Identifiers

PMID37202843
PMCPMC10337852
OpenAlexW4377094387

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.