Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37193705›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Flood hazard potential reveals global floodplain settlement patterns.

Laura Devitt, Jeffrey Neal, Gemma Coxon, James Savage, Thorsten Wagener

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. A conceptual model to quantify probabilistic dike breach outflow.Natural hazards (Dordrecht, Netherlands) · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Assessment of urban underground spaces inundation during extreme rainfall events.Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Laura DevittSchool of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. laura.devitt@bristol.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8800-429X
Jeffrey NealSchool of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5793-9594
Gemma CoxonSchool of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8837-460X
James SavageFathom, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4807-0916
Thorsten WagenerCabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.

Funding

RCUK | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) EP/L016214/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Flooding is one of the most common natural hazards, causing disastrous impacts worldwide. Stress-testing the global human-Earth system to understand the sensitivity of floodplains and population exposure to a range of plausible conditions is one strategy to identify where future changes to flooding or exposure might be most critical. This study presents a global analysis of the sensitivity of inundated areas and population exposure to varying flood event magnitudes globally for 1.2 million river reaches. Here we show that topography and drainage areas correlate with flood sensitivities as well as with societal behaviour. We find clear settlement patterns in which floodplains most sensitive to frequent, low magnitude events, reveal evenly distributed exposure across hazard zones, suggesting that people have adapted to this risk. In contrast, floodplains most sensitive to extreme magnitude events have a tendency for populations to be most densely settled in these rarely flooded zones, being in significant danger from potentially increasing hazard magnitudes given climate change.

Identifiers

PMID37193705
PMCPMC10188566

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.