Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37191534›Full record

ArticleMicrobiology spectrum2023

The Principles of SARS-CoV-2 Intervariant Competition Are Exemplified in the Pre-Omicron Era of the Colombian Epidemic.

Gregory S Orf, Lester J Pérez, Karl Ciuoderis, Andrés Cardona, Simón Villegas, Juan P Hernández-Ortiz, Guy Baele, Aurash Mohaimani, Jorge E Osorio, Michael G Berg and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Microbiology spectrum, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Gregory S Orf *Infectious Disease Research, Abbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4853-8518
Lester J Pérez *Infectious Disease Research, Abbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5717-5181
Karl CiuoderisAbbott Pandemic Defense Coalition (APDC), Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9267-3979
Andrés CardonaAbbott Pandemic Defense Coalition (APDC), Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.
Simón VillegasAbbott Pandemic Defense Coalition (APDC), Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.
Juan P Hernández-OrtizAbbott Pandemic Defense Coalition (APDC), Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0404-9947
Guy BaeleDepartment of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Evolutionary Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-1915-7732
Aurash MohaimaniInfectious Disease Research, Abbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.
Jorge E OsorioAbbott Pandemic Defense Coalition (APDC), Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7474-6150
Michael G BergInfectious Disease Research, Abbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0233-5819
Gavin A ClohertyInfectious Disease Research, Abbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Park, Illinois, USA.
Abbott (United States) · USUniversidad Nacional de Colombia · CORega Institute for Medical Research · BEUniversity of Wisconsin–Madison · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The first 18 months of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections in Colombia were characterized by three epidemic waves. During the third wave, from March through August 2021, intervariant competition resulted in Mu replacing Alpha and Gamma. We employed Bayesian phylodynamic inference and epidemiological modeling to characterize the variants in the country during this period of competition. Phylogeographic analysis indicated that Mu did not emerge in Colombia but acquired increased fitness there through local transmission and diversification, contributing to its export to North America and Europe. Despite not having the highest transmissibility, Mu's genetic composition and ability to evade preexisting immunity facilitated its domination of the Colombian epidemic landscape. Our results support previous modeling studies demonstrating that both intrinsic factors (transmissibility and genetic diversity) and extrinsic factors (time of introduction and acquired immunity) influence the outcome of intervariant competition. This analysis will help set practical expectations about the inevitable emergences of new variants and their trajectories.

Indexed as

COVID-19Bayes TheoremColombiaHumansSARS-CoV-2Bayesian inferenceColombiaphylogeographySARS-CoV-2SIR modelvariant of interestviral surveillance

Identifiers

PMID37191534
PMCPMC10269686
OpenAlexW4376642996

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.