Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37185793›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of epidemiology2023

The underwhelming German life expectancy.

Domantas Jasilionis, Alyson A van Raalte, Sebastian Klüsener, Pavel Grigoriev

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. [Prevention and screening in cardiovascular medicine].Innere Medizin (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2026
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Statins for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in Germany: benefits and costs.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Spatial Differences in Avoidable Mortality Across 581 European Districts, 2002-2019.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. [Fracture prevention with zoledronate in postmenopausal women].Innere Medizin (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2025
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

  • Commented on by
    2023
5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Domantas JasilionisLaboratory of Demographic Data, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad Zuse str. 1, Rostock, DE-18057, Germany. jasilionis@demogr.mpg.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9959-9292
Alyson A van RaalteIndependent Research Group of Lifespan Inequalities, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad Zuse str. 1, Rostock, DE-18057, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0676-8921
Sebastian KlüsenerResearch Area of Demographic Change and Longevity, Federal Institute for Population Research (BIB), Friedrich- Ebert-Allee 4, Wiesbaden, DE-65185, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0436-3565
Pavel GrigorievResearch Group Mortality, Federal Institute for Population Research (BIB), Friedrich-Ebert-Allee 4, Wiesbaden, DE-65185, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1419-9885

Funding

European Research Council 716323European Research Council 851485
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This article contributes to the discussion on the determinants of diverging life expectancy in high-income countries, with a focus on Germany. To date, much of this discourse has centered around the social determinants of health, issues of healthcare equity, poverty and income inequality, and new epidemics of opioids and violence. Yet despite doing well on all of these metrics and having numerous advantages such as comparatively strong economic performance, generous social security, and an equitable and well-resourced health care system, Germany has been a long-time life expectancy laggard among the high-income countries. Using aggregated population-level mortality data for Germany and selected six high-income countries (Switzerland, France, Japan, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States) from the Human Mortality Database and WHO Mortality Database, we find that the German longevity shortfall is mainly explained by a longstanding disadvantage in survival among older adults and adults nearing statutory retirement age, which mainly stems from sustained excess cardiovascular disease mortality, even when compared to other laggard countries such as the US and the UK. Patchy contextual data suggests that the unfavorable pattern of cardiovascular mortality may be driven by underperforming primary care and disease prevention. More systematic and representative data on risk factors are needed to strengthen the evidence base on the determinants of the controversial and long-standing health gap between more successful countries and Germany. The German example calls for broader narratives of population health that embed the variety of epidemiological challenges populations face around the globe.

Indexed as

Life ExpectancyPovertyAgedGermanyHumansLongevityMortalityUnited KingdomUnited StatesCauses of deathDivergenceGermanyHigh-income countriesLife expectancy

Identifiers

PMID37185793
PMCPMC10129301

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.