Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37182592›Full record

ArticleJournal of biomedical informatics2023

Enhancing early autism prediction based on electronic records using clinical narratives.

Junya Chen, Matthew Engelhard, Ricardo Henao, Samuel Berchuck, Brian Eichner, Eliana M Perrin, Guillermo Sapiro, Geraldine Dawson

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of biomedical informatics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Prematurity and Genetic Liability for Autism Spectrum Disorder.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Clinical natural language processing for secondary uses.Journal of biomedical informatics · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Junya ChenDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Duke University, Durham, NC, 27705, United States. Electronic address: junya.chen@duke.edu.
Matthew EngelhardDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Duke University, Durham, NC, 27705, United States.
Ricardo HenaoDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Duke University, Durham, NC, 27705, United States.
Samuel BerchuckDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Duke University, Durham, NC, 27705, United States.
Brian EichnerDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Duke University, Durham, NC, 27705, United States.
Eliana M PerrinDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Duke University, Durham, NC, 27705, United States.
Guillermo SapiroDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Duke University, Durham, NC, 27705, United States.
Geraldine DawsonDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Duke University, Durham, NC, 27705, United States.
Duke University · US

Funding

Recruitment and Assessment CoreP50HD093074 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Geraldine Dawson · 2017 to 2026
$27.6M
Novel Approaches to Infant Screening for ASD in Pediatric Primary CareR01MH121329 · NIMH · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI DAWSON, GERALDINE · 2019 to 2023
$3.9M
Machine Learning Methods to Develop and Deploy Real-Time Risk Surveillance for Autism Spectrum Disorder and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder from the Electronic Health RecordK01MH127309 · NIMH · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Matthew Morrow Engelhard · 2022 to 2026
$842k
NICHD NIH HHS P50 HD093074NIMH NIH HHS K01 MH127309NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH121329
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent work has shown that predictive models can be applied to structured electronic health record (EHR) data to stratify autism likelihood from an early age (<1 year). Integrating clinical narratives (or notes) with structured data has been shown to improve prediction performance in other clinical applications, but the added predictive value of this information in early autism prediction has not yet been explored. In this study, we aimed to enhance the performance of early autism prediction by using both structured EHR data and clinical narratives. We built models based on structured data and clinical narratives separately, and then an ensemble model that integrated both sources of data. We assessed the predictive value of these models from Duke University Health System over a 14-year span to evaluate ensemble models predicting later autism diagnosis (by age 4 years) from data collected from ages 30 to 360 days. Our sample included 11,750 children above by age 3 years (385 meeting autism diagnostic criteria). The ensemble model for autism prediction showed superior performance and at age 30 days achieved 46.8% sensitivity (95% confidence interval, CI: 22.0%, 52.9%), 28.0% positive predictive value (PPV) at high (90%) specificity (CI: 2.0%, 33.1%), and AUC

Indexed as

Autistic DisorderElectronic Health RecordsChildChild, PreschoolElectronicsHumansInfantNarrationPredictive Value of TestsAutismEHR dataEnsemble modelLanguage modelsUnstructured data

Identifiers

PMID37182592
PMCPMC10526711
OpenAlexW4376272312

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.