Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37163471›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Estimating Canadian sodium intakes and the health impact of meeting national and WHO recommended sodium intake levels: A macrosimulation modelling study.

Nadia Flexner, Anthea K Christoforou, Jodi T Bernstein, Alena P Ng, Yahan Yang, Eduardo A Fernandes Nilson, Marie-Ève Labonté, Mary R L'Abbe

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Modeling the Impact of Behavior Changes on Mortality Attributable to Non-communicable Diseases in Canada.Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Nadia FlexnerDepartment of Nutritional Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Anthea K ChristoforouDepartment of Nutritional Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Jodi T BernsteinDepartment of Nutritional Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Alena P NgDepartment of Nutritional Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Yahan YangDepartment of Nutritional Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Eduardo A Fernandes NilsonCenter for Epidemiological Research on Health and Nutrition, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, State of São Paulo, Brazil.
Marie-Ève LabontéCentre Nutrition, Santé et Société (NUTRISS), Institute of Nutrition and Functional Foods (INAF), Laval University, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9745-0443
Mary R L'AbbeDepartment of Nutritional Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7688-7558
University of Toronto · CAUniversidade de São Paulo · BRUniversité Laval · CA

Funding

CIHR 201610PJT-152979
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the second leading cause of total deaths in Canada. High blood pressure is the main metabolic risk factor for developing CVDs. It has been well established that excess consumption of sodium adversely affects blood pressure. Canadians' mean sodium intakes are well above recommended levels. Reducing dietary sodium intake through food reformulation has been identified as a cost-effective intervention, however, dietary sodium intake and the potential health impact of meeting recommended sodium intake levels due to food reformulation have not been determined in Canada.

objectiveThis study aimed to 1) obtain robust estimates of Canadians' usual sodium intakes, 2) model sodium intakes had foods been reformulated to align with Health Canada's sodium reduction targets, and 3) estimate the number of CVD deaths that could be averted or delayed if Canadian adults were to reduce their mean sodium intake to recommended levels under three scenarios: A) 2,300 mg/d-driven by a reduction of sodium levels in packaged foods to meet Health Canada targets (reformulation); B) 2,000 mg/d to meet the World Health Organization (WHO) recommendation; and C) 1,500 mg/d to meet the Adequate Intake recommendation.

methodsFoods in the University of Toronto's Food Label Information Program 2017, a Canadian branded food composition database, were linked to nationally representative food intake data from the 2015 Canadian Community Health Survey-Nutrition to estimate sodium intakes (and intakes had Health Canada's reformulation strategy been fully implemented). The Preventable Risk Integrated ModEl (PRIME) was used to estimate potential health impact.

resultsOverall, mean sodium intake was 2758 mg/day, varying by age and sex group. Based on 'reformulation' scenario A, mean sodium intakes were reduced by 459 mg/day, to 2299 mg/day. Reducing Canadians' sodium intake to recommended levels under scenarios A, B and C could have averted or delayed 2,176 (95% UI 869-3,687), 3,252 (95% UI 1,380-5,321), and 5,296 (95% UI 2,190-8,311) deaths due to CVDs, respectively, mainly from ischaemic heart disease, stroke, and hypertensive disease. This represents 3.7%, 5.6%, and 9.1%, respectively, of the total number of CVDs deaths observed in Canada in 2019.

conclusionResults suggest that reducing sodium intake to recommended levels could prevent or postpone a substantial number of CVD deaths in Canada. Reduced sodium intakes could be achieved through reformulation of the Canadian food supply. However, it will require higher compliance from the food industry to achieve Health Canada's voluntary benchmark sodium reduction targets.

Indexed as

HypertensionSodium, DietaryAdultCanadaHumansSodiumWorld Health OrganizationSodiumSodium, Dietary

Identifiers

PMID37163471
PMCPMC10171671
OpenAlexW4376131733

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.