Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37160831›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology and global health2023

Host Genetic Factors, Comorbidities and the Risk of Severe COVID-19.

Dongliang Zhu, Renjia Zhao, Huangbo Yuan, Yijing Xie, Yanfeng Jiang, Kelin Xu, Tiejun Zhang, Xingdong Chen, Chen Suo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology and global health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Surfactant protein levels and genetic variants as biomarkers for COVID-19 severity in children.American journal of physiology. Lung cellular and molecular physiology · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Dongliang ZhuDepartment of Epidemiology & Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Renjia ZhaoState Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, Zhangjiang Fudan International Innovation Center, Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Huangbo YuanState Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, Zhangjiang Fudan International Innovation Center, Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Yijing XieDepartment of Epidemiology & Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Yanfeng JiangState Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, Zhangjiang Fudan International Innovation Center, Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Kelin XuFudan University Taizhou Institute of Health Sciences, Yaocheng Road 799, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China.
Tiejun ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology & Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Xingdong ChenState Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, Zhangjiang Fudan International Innovation Center, Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Chen SuoDepartment of Epidemiology & Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China. xiaoxiaochenxi@hotmail.com.
Fudan University · CNTaizhou University · CN

Funding

Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project 2017SHZDZX01Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project ZD2021CY001three-Year Action Plan for Strengthening Public Health System in Shanghai GWV-10.2-YQ32
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was varied in disease symptoms. We aim to explore the effect of host genetic factors and comorbidities on severe COVID-19 risk.

methodsA total of 20,320 COVID-19 patients in the UK Biobank cohort were included. Genome-wide association analysis (GWAS) was used to identify host genetic factors in the progression of COVID-19 and a polygenic risk score (PRS) consisted of 86 SNPs was constructed to summarize genetic susceptibility. Colocalization analysis and Logistic regression model were used to assess the association of host genetic factors and comorbidities with COVID-19 severity. All cases were randomly split into training and validation set (1:1). Four algorithms were used to develop predictive models and predict COVID-19 severity. Demographic characteristics, comorbidities and PRS were included in the model to predict the risk of severe COVID-19. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was applied to assess the models' performance.

resultsWe detected an association with rs73064425 at locus 3p21.31 reached the genome-wide level in GWAS (odds ratio: 1.55, 95% confidence interval: 1.36-1.78). Colocalization analysis found that two genes (SLC6A20 and LZTFL1) may affect the progression of COVID-19. In the predictive model, logistic regression models were selected due to simplicity and high performance. Predictive model consisting of demographic characteristics, comorbidities and genetic factors could precisely predict the patient's progression (AUROC = 82.1%, 95% CI 80.6-83.7%). Nearly 20% of severe COVID-19 events could be attributed to genetic risk.

conclusionIn this study, we identified two 3p21.31 genes as genetic susceptibility loci in patients with severe COVID-19. The predictive model includes demographic characteristics, comorbidities and genetic factors is useful to identify individuals who are predisposed to develop subsequent critical conditions among COVID-19 patients.

Indexed as

COVID-19ComorbidityGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMembrane Transport ProteinsSARS-CoV-2Membrane Transport ProteinsSLC6A20 protein, humanComorbidityCOVID-19GWASHost geneticsPolygenic risk scorePredictive model

Identifiers

PMID37160831
PMCPMC10169198
OpenAlexW4376105932

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.