Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37158435›Full record

ArticleBJS open2023

Risk stratification for the detection of metachronous polyps after bowel screening polypectomy: clinical outcomes from the Integrated Technologies for Improved Polyp Surveillance (INCISE) study cohort.

Mark S Johnstone, Reiss Stoops, Gerard Lynch, Jennifer Hay, Jakub Jawny, William Sloan, Joanne Edwards, Stephen T McSorley

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BJS open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Predictors of metachronous advanced colorectal adenoma after polypectomy.Journal of the Chinese Medical Association : JCMA · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Mark S JohnstoneAcademic Unit of Surgery, School of Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5035-1517
Reiss StoopsAcademic Unit of Surgery, School of Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Gerard LynchWolfson Wohl Cancer Research Centre, School of Cancer Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Jennifer HayGlasgow Tissue Research Facility, School of Cancer Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Jakub JawnyDepartment of Pathology, Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, UK.
William SloanResearch and Development, Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, UK.
Joanne EdwardsWolfson Wohl Cancer Research Centre, School of Cancer Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Stephen T McSorleyAcademic Unit of Surgery, School of Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.

Funding

Cancer Research UK 105858Medical Research Council MC_PC_17190
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAfter colorectal polypectomy, 20-50 per cent of patients develop metachronous polyps and some have increased colorectal cancer risk. British Society of Gastroenterology (BSG) 2020 guidelines recommend surveillance colonoscopy for high-risk patients based on index pathology. The aim of this study was to evaluate metachronous lesion outcome using BSG 2020 criteria.

methodsA retrospective, multicentred study was conducted including patients who had polypectomy during screening colonoscopy (2009-2016) followed by surveillance. Demographics, index pathology, and BSG 2020 risk criteria were compared with regard to metachronous lesion pathology (non-advanced versus advanced lesions) and timing of detection (early versus late). Advanced lesions were defined as adenomas/serrated polyps greater than or equal to 10 mm, high-grade dysplasia, serrated polyps with dysplasia, or colorectal cancer, and late lesions those detected greater than 2 years after the index procedure.

resultsOf 3090 eligible patients, 2643 were included. Among these, retrospective BSG 2020 application would have excluded 51.5 per cent from surveillance. After a median of 36 months, the advanced polyp/colorectal cancer rate in BSG 2020 high-risk patients was 16.3 versus 13.0 per cent in low-risk patients. Older age (P = 0.008) correlated with advanced metachronous lesions. Male sex, greater than five polyps, and BSG 2020 high-risk criteria correlated with non-advanced and advanced lesions (P < 0.001). Older age (P < 0.001), villous features (P = 0.006), advanced index polyp (P = 0.020), and greater than five polyps (P < 0.001) correlated with early metachronous lesions. Male sex and BSG 2020 high-risk criteria correlated with early and late lesions (P < 0.001). On multivariable regression, increased polyp number (odds ratio (OR) 1.15 (95 per cent c.i. 1.07 to 1.25); P < 0.001) and villous features (OR 1.49 (95 per cent c.i. 1.05 to 2.10); P = 0.025) independently correlated with early advanced lesions. The rate of non-advanced and advanced metachronous polyps was higher in BSG 2020 high- versus low-risk patients (44.4 versus 35.4 per cent for non-advanced and 15.7 versus 11.8 per cent for advanced; P < 0.001), but the colorectal cancer rate was similar (0.6 versus 1.2 per cent). However, when examining only lesions detected greater than 2 years after the index colonoscopy in high- versus low-risk patients, no significant differences were observed (P = 0.140).

conclusionBSG 2020 criteria correlated with metachronous polyps, but did not differentiate advanced and non-advanced lesions and were not predictive of late lesions.

Indexed as

Colonic PolypsColorectal NeoplasmsColonoscopyHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID37158435
PMCPMC10167706

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.