Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37155886›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Cultural threat perceptions predict violent extremism via need for cognitive closure.

Milan Obaidi, Gulnaz Anjum, Kinga Bierwiaczonek, John F Dovidio, Simon Ozer, Jonas R Kunst

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Intelligent Systems, Vulnerable Minds: A Framework for Radicalization to Violence in the Age of AI.Personality and social psychology review : an official journal of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology, Inc · 2026
    Review
  2. Reply to Romano and De Dreu: Why violent extremism cannot be reduced to laboratory games.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. The psychology of offensive and defensive intergroup violence: Preregistered insights from 58 countries.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Milan ObaidiDepartment of Psychology, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen 1353, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-6416-1805
Gulnaz AnjumDepartment of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo 0373, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-2589-7884
Kinga BierwiaczonekDepartment of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo 0373, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-2251-5633
John F DovidioDepartment of Psychology, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511.ORCID 0000-0002-6110-8344
Simon OzerDepartment of Psychology, Aarhus University, Aarhus 8000, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-4881-4201
Jonas R KunstDepartment of Psychology, University of Oslo, Oslo 0373, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-5319-1256

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the psychological processes that drive violent extremism is a pressing global issue. Across six studies, we demonstrate that perceived cultural threats lead to violent extremism because they increase people's need for cognitive closure (NFC). In general population samples (from Denmark, Afghanistan, Pakistan, France, and an international sample) and a sample of former Mujahideen in Afghanistan, single-level and multilevel mediation analyses revealed that NFC mediated the association between perceived cultural threats and violent extremist outcomes. Further, in comparisons between the sample of former Afghan Mujahideen and the general population sample from Afghanistan following the known-group paradigm, the former Mujahideen scored significantly higher on cultural threat, NFC, and violent extremist outcomes. Moreover, the proposed model successfully differentiated former Afghan Mujahideen participants from the general Afghan participants. Next, two preregistered experiments provided causal support for the model. Experimentally manipulating the predictor (cultural threat) in Pakistan led to higher scores on the mediator (NFC) and dependent variables (violent extremist outcomes). Finally, an experiment conducted in France demonstrated the causal effect of the mediator (NFC) on violent extremist outcomes. Two internal meta-analyses using state-of-the-art methods (i.e., meta-analytic structural equation modeling and pooled indirect effects analyses) further demonstrated the robustness of our results across the different extremist outcomes, designs, populations, and settings. Cultural threat perceptions seem to drive violent extremism by eliciting a need for cognitive closure.

Indexed as

TerrorismViolenceAfghanistanAggressionCognitionHumansindividual differencesneed for cognitive closurepolitical extremismthreat perceptionviolent extremism

Identifiers

PMID37155886
PMCPMC10194010

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.