Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37153074›Full record

ArticleClinical epidemiology2023

Changing Trends in the Disease Burden of Cataract and Forecasted Trends in China and Globally from 1990 to 2030.

Yiyang Shu, Yuting Shao, Qi Zhou, Lixia Lu, Zhiyue Wang, Li Zhang, Yanlong Bi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A comprehensive investigation of identifying miRNA biomarkers and their potential role in age-related cataract by meta-analysis and bioinformatics analysis.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2025
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Yiyang ShuDepartment of Ophthalmology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0003-4156-6572
Yuting ShaoDepartment of Ophthalmology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Qi ZhouExam Center of Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Lixia LuDepartment of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, Tongji Eye Institute, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Zhiyue WangDepartment of Ophthalmology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Li ZhangDepartment of Ophthalmology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0002-0871-2024
Yanlong BiDepartment of Ophthalmology, Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Tongji University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aim: To explore the trends in the prevalence and disease burden of cataract from 1990 to 2019, evaluate attributable risk factors, and predict trends over the next decade in China and globally. Methods: Data was obtained from Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. We calculated the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASR) and annual percentage change (EAPC) to show the trends of cataract in China and different regions. We calculated and reported the proportion of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to risk factors by sex in China and different regions. Then, the Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis model was also used to predict the prevalence trends from 2020 to 2030 in China and globally. Results: The ASR increased from 867.09 in 1990 to 991.56 in 2019 per 100,000 with an EAPC of 0.88 in China. The age-standardized DALY rate of females was higher than males. DALY rates were correlated to household air pollution from solid fuels, tobacco, high fasting plasma glucose and high body-mass index. The projective model indicates that the ASR for cataracts will rise to 1101.35×10 Conclusion: The trends from 1990 to 2030 suggested that the burden of cataract remains high in China. Maintaining good lifestyle habits such as switching to clean energy, reducing cigar intake, controlling blood glucose and weight can reduce the risk of cataracts. As aging increases, China should pay more attention to cataract-induced low vision and blindness and develop public policies to reduce the disease burden.

Indexed as

cataractChinadisease burdenrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID37153074
PMCPMC10162108
OpenAlexW4367557725

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.