ArticleNature communications2023
China can be self-sufficient in maize production by 2030 with optimal crop management.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
50 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- A meta-analysis of the effects of nitrogen fertilizer application on maize (Frontiers in plant science · 2024Pooled it
- YOLOv11-MPD: A Multi-Part Maize Disease Detection Algorithm for Complex Field Environments.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Dynamic Prediction of Maize Tasseling Stage Based on UAV LiDAR Time-Series Plant Height Growth Curves: A Framework Coupling UAV-CHM-POI.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Identification of a Major QTL Controlling Maize Lateral Root Branching Number Through Integrated BSA-Seq and Transcriptome Analysis.International journal of molecular sciences · 2026Article
- Quantitative analysis of genetically modified maize based on terahertz spectroscopy and DeepSpectra models.NPJ science of food · 2026Article
- Breeding ideotype maize with enhanced yield through genomics-guided pyramiding of favorable alleles.Nature genetics · 2026Article
- Article
- Heterologous Expression of ZmAHL10 Gene Enhances Low Nitrogen Tolerance in Transgenic Arabidopsis.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Article
- Cultivar evolution underpins maize yield sensitivity to adverse climate conditions.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Response of Maize Yield and Nitrogen Use Efficiency to Integrated Cover Crop Rotation and Nitrogen Management Practices.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- A Meta-Analysis of the Effects of Increased Planting Density on Maize Yield in Northeast China.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Synergistic Modulation of Nitrogen and Chemical Regulation: Balancing Photosynthesis and Lodging Resistance for High-Efficiency Maize Production Under Dense Planting.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Chromosome-level genome assemblies of two maize inbred lines with contrasting plant architectures.Scientific data · 2026Article
- Quantitative trait loci mapping of heterosis for leaf morphological traits and candidate gene identification in maize.BMC plant biology · 2026Article
- Maize recruits beneficial microorganisms via rhizosphere metabolites as signals to construct a functional network for saline-alkaline stress resistance.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- The impact of chemicals and additives on maize physiology and resistance toFrontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- WSD-YOLO: A lightweight YOLO-based model with enhanced feature representation for maize pest detection.PloS one · 2026Article
- Optimization of irrigation scheduling for maize in arid regions Northwest China based on water stress diagnosis in models.PloS one · 2026Article
- High-resolution water footprints of major crops in China from cities to grids.Scientific reports · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Population growth and economic development in China has increased the demand for food and animal feed, raising questions regarding China's future maize production self-sufficiency. Here, we address this challenge by combining data-driven projections with a machine learning method on data from 402 stations, with data from 87 field experiments across China. Current maize yield would be roughly doubled with the implementation of optimal planting density and management. In the 2030 s, we estimate a 52% yield improvement through dense planting and soil improvement under a high-end climate forcing Shared Socio-Economic Pathway (SSP585), compared with a historical climate trend. Based on our results, yield gains from soil improvement outweigh the adverse effects of climate change. This implies that China can be self-sufficient in maize by using current cropping areas. Our results challenge the view of yield stagnation in most global areas and provide an example of how food security can be achieved with optimal crop-soil management under future climate change scenarios.
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