ArticleBMC pregnancy and childbirth2023
Nomogram for predicting the risk of preterm birth in women undergoing in vitro fertilization cycles.
Article in BMC pregnancy and childbirth, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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5 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.
- Multimorbidity patterns are associated with postoperative delirium in older patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery: an observational study.Frontiers in medicine · 2026Article
- A nomogram for predicting the risk of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in preterm infants: a prospective multicenter study.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2026Article
- Development and validation of a risk nomogram to estimate risk of hyponatremia after spinal cord injury: A retrospective single-center study.The journal of spinal cord medicine · 2025Article
- A nomogram to predict the risk of death during hospitalization in Chinese neonates with respiratory failure.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Comparison of the prognostic value, feasibility, and reproducibility among different scoring methods of 8‑point lung ultrasonography in patients with acute heart failure.Internal and emergency medicine · 2023Observational
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7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
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Abstract
backgroundThe aim of this study was to develop a nomogram for predicting the risk of preterm birth in women undergoing in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles.
methodsA retrospective study of 4266 live birth cycles collected from January 2016 to October 2021 at the Center for Reproductive Medicine, First Hospital of Jilin University was performed. The sample size was sufficient based on the minimal ten events per variable (EPV) rule. The primary outcome of this study was preterm birth. The cycles were divided into the preterm birth group (n = 827) and the full-term delivery group (n = 3439). A nomogram was established based on the multivariate logistic regression analysis results. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the prediction accuracy of the nomogram model. The calibration curve was used to measure the calibration of the nomogram.
resultsMultivariate logistic regression analyses showed that female obesity or overweight (OR = 1.366, 95% CI: 1.111-1.679; OR = 1.537, 95% CI: 1.030-2.292), antral follicle count (AFC) of more than 24 (OR = 1.378, 95% CI: 1.035-1.836), multiple pregnancies (OR = 6.748, 95% CI: 5.559-8.190), gestational hypertension (OR = 9.662, 95% CI: 6.632-14.078) and gestational diabetes (OR = 4.650, 95% CI: 2.289-9.445) were the independent risk factors for preterm birth in IVF patients. The area under curve (AUC) under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in the prediction model was 0.781(95%CI: 0.763-0.799). The calibration curve of the nomogram showed that the prediction model had a good calibration.
conclusionsWe used five risk factors to conduct a nomogram to predict preterm birth rates for patients undergoing IVF cycles. This nomogram can provide a visual assessment of the risk of preterm birth for clinical consultation.
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