ArticleBMC infectious diseases2023
Accessibility of the three-year comprehensive prevention and control of brucellosis in Ningxia: a mathematical modeling study.
Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.
- Epidemiology of Brucellosis Among Deer in China From 1978 to 2025: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2026Pooled it
- Dynamic Modeling of Prevention and Control ofTransboundary and emerging diseases · 2025Pooled it
- Simulation and prediction of human brucellosis epidemic trends in Changji city.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Dynamical modeling and analysis of the impact of zonal prevention and control under normalized management on African Swine Fever transmission in China.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Dynamic modelling and analysis of human brucellosis on age heterogeneity in Jinzhou, China.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Seasonal dynamic modeling for real-time prediction of human brucellosis epidemiological trends in Gansu, Guangdong and Sichuan Provinces, China.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- A multi-source data-based modelling study on brucellosis transmission risk analysis and control strategies in Zhejiang Province, China.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Prevalence and spatial distribution characteristics of human brucellosis in Ningxia from 2010 to 2024.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Molecular Epidemiology ofVeterinary sciences · 2025Article
- Prediction and control for the transmission of brucellosis in inner Mongolia, China.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- An SNP-based diagnostic method forFrontiers in veterinary science · 2025Article
- Epidemiological characteristics and spatio-temporal clusters of human brucellosis in Inner Mongolia, 2010-2021.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Epidemiological changes and molecular characteristics ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2024Article
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7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
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Abstract
backgroundBrucellosis is a chronic zoonotic disease, and Ningxia is one of the high prevalence regions in China. To mitigate the spread of brucellosis, the government of Ningxia has implemented a comprehensive prevention and control plan (2022-2024). It is meaningful to quantitatively evaluate the accessibility of this strategy.
methodsBased on the transmission characteristics of brucellosis in Ningxia, we propose a dynamical model of sheep-human-environment, which coupling with the stage structure of sheep and indirect environmental transmission. We first calculate the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] and use the model to fit the data of human brucellosis. Then, three widely applied control strategies of brucellosis in Ningxia, that is, slaughtering of sicked sheep, health education to high risk practitioners, and immunization of adult sheep, are evaluated.
resultsThe basic reproduction number is calculated as [Formula: see text], indicating that human brucellosis will persist. The model has a good alignment with the human brucellosis data. The quantitative accessibility evaluation results show that current brucellosis control strategy may not reach the goal on time. "Ningxia Brucellosis Prevention and Control Special Three-Year Action Implementation Plan (2022-2024)" will be achieved in 2024 when increasing slaughtering rate [Formula: see text] by 30[Formula: see text], increasing health education to reduce [Formula: see text] to 50[Formula: see text], and an increase of immunization rate of adult sheep [Formula: see text] by 40[Formula: see text].
conclusionThe results demonstrate that the comprehensive control measures are the most effective for brucellosis control, and it is necessary to further strengthen the multi-sectoral joint mechanism and adopt integrated measures to prevention and control brucellosis. These results can provide a reliable quantitative basis for further optimizing the prevention and control strategy of brucellosis in Ningxia.
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