Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37146605›Full record

ArticleCancer cell2023

Clinical significance and biology of circulating tumor DNA in high-risk early-stage HER2-negative breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Mark Jesus M Magbanua, Lamorna Brown Swigart, Ziad Ahmed, Rosalyn W Sayaman, Derrick Renner, Ekaterina Kalashnikova, Gillian L Hirst, Christina Yau, Denise M Wolf, Wen Li and 21 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer cell, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07214532 (SIgnatera-Guided Initiation of Adjuvant CDK4/6 Inhibitor in Intermediate Risk HR+ HER2- Breast Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 121 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
121citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
37.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07214532 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

SIgnatera-Guided Initiation of Adjuvant CDK4/6 Inhibitor in Intermediate Risk HR+ HER2- Breast Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorNatera, Inc.Ran2026 to 2037Enrolled725ConditionsBreast Neoplasms, Carcinoma, Ductal, Breast, Receptors, Estrogen (for ER-positive Requirement)ArmsctDNA-Guided Treatment Strategy
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

121 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 158 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Detection of Circulating Tumor DNA Using a Tissue-Free Epigenomic Assay Is a Highly Prognostic Biomarker in Early-Stage Triple-Negative Breast Cancer.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2025
    Trial
  7. Review
  8. De-escalation of breast surgery for early stage breast cancer.Japanese journal of clinical oncology · 2026
    Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Clinical and Molecular Correlates of Circulating Tumor Fraction in Patients with Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2026
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Observational
  20. Article

61 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors at 11 institutions in 1 country.

Mark Jesus M MagbanuaUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA. Electronic address: mark.magbanua@ucsf.edu.
Lamorna Brown SwigartUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Ziad AhmedUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Rosalyn W SayamanUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Derrick RennerNatera, Inc., Austin, TX 78753, USA.
Ekaterina KalashnikovaNatera, Inc., Austin, TX 78753, USA.
Gillian L HirstUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Christina YauUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Denise M WolfUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Wen LiUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Amy L DelsonUCSF Breast Science Advocacy Core, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Smita AsareQuantum Leap Healthcare Collaborative, San Francisco, CA 94118, USA.
Minetta C LiuNatera, Inc., Austin, TX 78753, USA; Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA.
Kathy AlbainLoyola University Chicago, Maywood, IL 60153, USA.
A Jo ChienUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Andres Forero-TorresUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL 35233, USA.
Claudine IsaacsGeorgetown University, Washington, DC 20007, USA.
Rita NandaUniversity of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA.
Debu TripathyUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX 77030, USA.
Angel RodriguezNatera, Inc., Austin, TX 78753, USA.
Himanshu SethiNatera, Inc., Austin, TX 78753, USA.
Alexey AleshinNatera, Inc., Austin, TX 78753, USA.
Matthew RabinowitzNatera, Inc., Austin, TX 78753, USA.
Jane PerlmutterUCSF Breast Science Advocacy Core, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
W Fraser SymmansUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX 77030, USA.
Douglas YeeUniversity of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.
Nola M HyltonUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Laura J EssermanUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Angela M DeMicheleUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Hope S RugoUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Laura J van 't VeerUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
University of California, San Francisco · USNatera (United States) · USThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USGeorgetown University · USLoyola University Chicago · USMayo Clinic in Arizona · USQuantum Leap Healthcare Collaborative · USUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham · USUniversity of Chicago · USUniversity of Minnesota · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

Translational InformaticsP30CA082103 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Kate Taylor Shumate · 1999 to 2026
$209.7M
The I SPY 2.2 TRIAL: Evolving to Imaging and Molecular Biomarker Response Directed Adaptive Sequential Treatment to Optimize Breast Cancer OutcomesP01CA210961 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Nola M. Hylton-Watson · 2017 to 2026
$22.9M
Training SubprojectU54HG007990 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SANTA CRUZ · PI HAUSSLER, DAVID H, PATTERSON, DAVID · 2014 to 2018
$14.8M
The Cancer Cell Map Initiative v2.0U54CA274502 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Trey Ideker, Nevan J Krogan · 2022 to 2026
$14.2M
Using Networks to Seed Hierarchical Whole-cell Models of CancerU54CA209891 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI IDEKER, TREY, KROGAN, NEVAN J · 2017 to 2021
$10.9M
Cytoscape: A Modeling Platform for Biomolecular NetworksR01GM070743 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI IDEKER, TREY · 2004 to 2016
$5.7M
Strategy for combining circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measures of tumor burden for prediction of response and outcome in neoadjuvant-treated early breast cancerR01CA255442 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI LI, WEN, MAGBANUA, MARK JESUS · 2021 to 2025
$3.3M
Quantitative Imaging for Assessing Breast Cancer Response to TreatmentU01CA225427 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI HYLTON-WATSON, NOLA M. · 2018 to 2022
$3.2M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA210961NCI NIH HHS P30 CA082103NCI NIH HHS R01 CA255442NCI NIH HHS U01 CA225427NCI NIH HHS U54 CA209891NCI NIH HHS U54 CA274502NHGRI NIH HHS U54 HG007990NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM070743
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis may improve early-stage breast cancer treatment via non-invasive tumor burden assessment. To investigate subtype-specific differences in the clinical significance and biology of ctDNA shedding, we perform serial personalized ctDNA analysis in hormone receptor (HR)-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in the I-SPY2 trial. ctDNA positivity rates before, during, and after NAC are higher in TNBC than in HR-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer patients. Early clearance of ctDNA 3 weeks after treatment initiation predicts a favorable response to NAC in TNBC only. Whereas ctDNA positivity associates with reduced distant recurrence-free survival in both subtypes. Conversely, ctDNA negativity after NAC correlates with improved outcomes, even in patients with extensive residual cancer. Pretreatment tumor mRNA profiling reveals associations between ctDNA shedding and cell cycle and immune-associated signaling. On the basis of these findings, the I-SPY2 trial will prospectively test ctDNA for utility in redirecting therapy to improve response and prognosis.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsCirculating Tumor DNATriple Negative Breast NeoplasmsAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsBiologyClinical RelevanceErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesFemaleHumansNeoadjuvant TherapyCirculating Tumor DNAErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine Kinasescirculating tumor DNAgene expressionneoadjuvant chemotherapypathologic complete responsereceptor subtyperesidual cancer burden

Identifiers

PMID37146605
PMCPMC10330514
OpenAlexW4372336859

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.