ArticleNature food2023
Extreme rainfall reduces one-twelfth of China's rice yield over the last two decades.
Article in Nature food, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.
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Who cites it
35 citing papers in PubMed.
- Climate-driven expansion of rice virus vector pests threatens global food security.Pest management science · 2026Article
- Refined crop modelling reveals intensifying impacts of droughts and heatwaves on global wheat productivity.Nature food · 2026Article
- Widespread land-use change may be caused by adaptation to climate-induced yield reductions.iScience · 2026Article
- Spatially explicit temperature optima improve climate impact assessment of global crop productivity.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Multi-hazard exposure and vulnerability drive rising agricultural risk in global breadbasket regions.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Summer Rainfall Amount Is More Important than Rainfall Frequency in Controlling the Growth and Propagation ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Plant Genetic Engineering: Technological Pathways, Application Scenarios, and Future Directions.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026Review
- Underestimated agricultural losses due to flooding.Science advances · 2026Article
- Stage-Specific Effects of Climatic Variation on Rice Yield and Nitrogen Use Efficiency for Identifying Adaptive Genotypes Based on Variable Selection Method.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Integrated physiological, proteomic, and phosphoproteomic analyses of 24-epibrassinolide-mediated yield protection under complete submergence during panicle differentiation in rice.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Agronomic management drives the wheat yield plateau in high-yielding environments of northwest Europe.Nature food · 2026Article
- Multidimensional synergistic adaptation enhances the systemic resilience in China's food security.National science review · 2026Review
- Precise chronology of hydrological changes at ∼4.2 kyr in Central China to assess the impact of flooding on Neolithic societies.National science review · 2026Article
- The Mid-Domain Effect Shapes a Unimodal Latitudinal Pattern in Fruiting Phenology.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Decadal changes in wind speed have offset and then aggravated the impact of warming on maize production in China since 1980.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Article
- Current Status of Studying on Physiological Mechanisms of Rice Response to Flooding Stress and Flooding-Resistant Cultivation Regulation.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Review
- Pangenome analysis of transposable element insertion polymorphisms reveals features underlying cold tolerance in rice.Nature communications · 2025Article
- A 3.5-fold increase in the synchrony of extreme precipitation and temperature events across China from 1930 to 2022.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- A half-century of climate change in major agricultural regions: Trends, impacts, and surprises.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
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19 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Extreme climate events constitute a major risk to global food production. Among these, extreme rainfall is often dismissed from historical analyses and future projections, the impacts and mechanisms of which remain poorly understood. Here we used long-term nationwide observations and multi-level rainfall manipulative experiments to explore the magnitude and mechanisms of extreme rainfall impacts on rice yield in China. We find that rice yield reductions due to extreme rainfall were comparable to those induced by extreme heat over the last two decades, reaching 7.6 ± 0.9% (one standard error) according to nationwide observations and 8.1 ± 1.1% according to the crop model incorporating the mechanisms revealed from manipulative experiments. Extreme rainfall reduces rice yield mainly by limiting nitrogen availability for tillering that lowers per-area effective panicles and by exerting physical disturbance on pollination that declines per-panicle filled grains. Considering these mechanisms, we projected ~8% additional yield reduction due to extreme rainfall under warmer climate by the end of the century. These findings demonstrate that it is critical to account for extreme rainfall in food security assessments.
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