Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37133432›Full record

ArticleThe American surgeon2023

Prediction of Ureteral Injury During Colorectal Surgery Using Machine Learning.

Kevin A Chen, Chinmaya U Joisa, Jonathan M Stem, Jose G Guillem, Shawn M Gomez, Muneera R Kapadia

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American surgeon, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The ACPGBI AI taskforce report: A mixed-methods roadmap for AI in colorectal surgery.Colorectal disease : the official journal of the Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Kevin A ChenDepartment of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Chinmaya U JoisaJoint Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Jonathan M StemDepartment of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Jose G GuillemDepartment of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Shawn M GomezJoint Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Muneera R KapadiaDepartment of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · US

Funding

UNC Integrated Translational Oncology Program (UNC-iTOP)T32CA244125 · NCI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI WILLIAM Y. KIM, Jen Jen Yeh · 2019 to 2026
$3.9M
NCI NIH HHS T32 CA244125
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUreteral injury (UI) is a rare but devastating complication during colorectal surgery. Ureteral stents may reduce UI but carry risks themselves. Risk predictors for UI could help target the use of stents, but previous efforts have relied on logistic regression (LR), shown moderate accuracy, and used intraoperative variables. We sought to use an emerging approach in predictive analytics, machine learning, to create a model for UI.

methodsPatients who underwent colorectal surgery were identified in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. Patients were split into training, validation, and test sets. The primary outcome was UI. Three machine learning approaches were tested including random forest (RF), gradient boosting (XGB), and neural networks (NN), and compared with traditional LR. Model performance was assessed using area under the curve (AUROC).

resultsThe data set included 262,923 patients, of whom 1519 (.578%) experienced UI. Of the modeling techniques, XGB performed the best, with an AUROC score of .774 (95% CI .742-.807) compared with .698 (95% CI .664-.733) for LR. Random forest and NN performed similarly with scores of .738 and .763, respectively. Type of procedure, work RVUs, indication for surgery, and mechanical bowel prep showed the strongest influence on model predictions.

conclusionsMachine learning-based models significantly outperformed LR and previous models and showed high accuracy in predicting UI during colorectal surgery. With proper validation, they could be used to support decision making regarding the placement of ureteral stents preoperatively.

Indexed as

Abdominal InjuriesColorectal SurgeryDigestive System Surgical ProceduresDatabases, FactualHumansMachine Learningartificial intelligencecolorectal surgerymachine learningureteral injury

Identifiers

PMID37133432
PMCPMC10622328
OpenAlexW4367834755

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.