Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37132098›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2023

Improved multimodal prediction of progression from MCI to Alzheimer's disease combining genetics with quantitative brain MRI and cognitive measures.

Emilie T Reas, Alexey Shadrin, Oleksandr Frei, Ehsan Motazedi, Linda McEvoy, Shahram Bahrami, Dennis van der Meer, Carolina Makowski, Robert Loughnan, Xin Wang and 13 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Predicting Future Brain Atrophy Based on Longitudinal MRI.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Cross-dataset Evaluation of Dementia Longitudinal Progression Prediction Models.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Emilie T ReasDepartment of Neurosciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4110-5154
Alexey ShadrinNORMENT Centre, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Oleksandr FreiNORMENT Centre, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Ehsan MotazediNORMENT Centre, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Linda McEvoyDepartment of Radiology, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Shahram BahramiNORMENT Centre, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Dennis van der MeerNORMENT Centre, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Carolina MakowskiDepartment of Radiology, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Robert LoughnanUniversity of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Xin WangDepartment of Neurosciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Iris BroceDepartment of Neurosciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Sarah J BanksDepartment of Neurosciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Vera FominykhNORMENT Centre, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Weiqiu ChengNORMENT Centre, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Dominic HollandDepartment of Neurosciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Olav B SmelandNORMENT Centre, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Tyler SeibertDepartment of Radiology, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Geir SelbaekUniversity of Oslo, Universitetet i Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
James B BrewerDepartment of Neurosciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Chun C FanDepartment of Radiology, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Ole A AndreassenNORMENT Centre, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Anders M DaleDepartment of Neurosciences, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative

Funding

Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative - SupplementU01AG024904 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE RES &EDUC · PI WEINER, MICHAEL W · 2004 to 2015
$121.0M
UCSD Shiley-Marcos Alzheimer's Disease Research Center P30P30AG062429 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI DOUGLAS R GALASKO · 2019 to 2026
$34.9M
COVID-19-related blood-brain barrier and microstructural brain injury; Sex differences and synergy with Alzheimer's disease riskR01AG077202 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Emilie T. Reas · 2023 to 2026
$3.1M
UCSD Leading the Advancement of Underrepresented Neuroscientists for Change (LAUNCH) Faculty Development ProgramR25NS117367 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI Victoria B Risbrough, Joann Trejo · 2020 to 2026
$1.6M
Association of blood-brain barrier breakdown with brain microstructure neuropathology in early Alzheimer's DiseaseR00AG057797 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI REAS, EMILIE T. · 2021 to 2023
$747k
Novel imaging genetic biomarkers for sporadic frontotemporal dementia through machine learningK01AG070376 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI BROCE-DIAZ, IRIS J · 2021 to 2025
$528k
NIA NIH HHS K01 AG070376NIA NIH HHS P30 AG062429NIA NIH HHS R00 AG057797NIA NIH HHS R01 AG077202NIA NIH HHS U01 AG024904NIH HHS U01 AG024904NINDS NIH HHS R25 NS117367
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThere is a pressing need for non-invasive, cost-effective tools for early detection of Alzheimer's disease (AD).

methodsUsing data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), Cox proportional models were conducted to develop a multimodal hazard score (MHS) combining age, a polygenic hazard score (PHS), brain atrophy, and memory to predict conversion from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to dementia. Power calculations estimated required clinical trial sample sizes after hypothetical enrichment using the MHS. Cox regression determined predicted age of onset for AD pathology from the PHS.

resultsThe MHS predicted conversion from MCI to dementia (hazard ratio for 80th versus 20th percentile: 27.03). Models suggest that application of the MHS could reduce clinical trial sample sizes by 67%. The PHS alone predicted age of onset of amyloid and tau. DISCUSSION: The MHS may improve early detection of AD for use in memory clinics or for clinical trial enrichment. HIGHLIGHTS: A multimodal hazard score (MHS) combined age, genetics, brain atrophy, and memory. The MHS predicted time to conversion from mild cognitive impairment to dementia. MHS reduced hypothetical Alzheimer's disease (AD) clinical trial sample sizes by 67%. A polygenic hazard score predicted age of onset of AD neuropathology.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseCognitive DysfunctionAtrophyBiomarkersBrainCognitionDisease ProgressionHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingNeuroimagingBiomarkersAlzheimer's diseaseamyloidgeneticsmagnetic resonance imagingmemorymild cognitive impairmentmultimodal predictiontau

Identifiers

PMID37132098
PMCPMC10620101

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.