ArticleNature communications2023
Mechanistic models project bird invasions with accuracy.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Invasive songbirds show greater heat, but not cold, tolerance than Mediterranean native counterparts.The Journal of experimental biology · 2026Article
- Ecophysiology of an Avian Invader: Body Condition and Metabolic Rate Adjustments to Ambient Temperature.Integrative zoology · 2026Article
- Integrating the thermal dependence of sex ratio into distribution models to predict suitable habitats for the invasive freshwater pond slider turtle,Marine life science & technology · 2025Article
- The Involvement of Human Factors Brings New Findings for Predicting Global Suitability Habitat forEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- Sexual dimorphism and allometric patterns in hawkmoth epiphyses (Lepidoptera: Sphingidae).Scientific reports · 2025Article
- A metabolic perspective on polyploid invasion and the emergence of life histories: Insights from a mechanistic model.American journal of botany · 2024Article
- Contrasting morphometric responses to increasing urbanisation in congeneric sparrow species.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Identifying species traits that predict vulnerability to climate change.Cambridge prisms. Extinction · 2024Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Invasive species pose a major threat to biodiversity and inflict massive economic costs. Effective management of bio-invasions depends on reliable predictions of areas at risk of invasion, as they allow early invader detection and rapid responses. Yet, considerable uncertainty remains as to how to predict best potential invasive distribution ranges. Using a set of mainly (sub)tropical birds introduced to Europe, we show that the true extent of the geographical area at risk of invasion can accurately be determined by using ecophysiological mechanistic models that quantify species' fundamental thermal niches. Potential invasive ranges are primarily constrained by functional traits related to body allometry and body temperature, metabolic rates, and feather insulation. Given their capacity to identify tolerable climates outside of contemporary realized species niches, mechanistic predictions are well suited for informing effective policy and management aimed at preventing the escalating impacts of invasive species.
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Registered trials
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