ArticleAMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium2022
Learning Clinical Concepts for Predicting Risk of Progression to Severe COVID-19.
Article in AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
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Abstract
With COVID-19 now pervasive, identification of high-risk individuals is crucial. Using data from a major healthcare provider in Southwestern Pennsylvania, we develop survival models predicting severe COVID-19 progression. In this endeavor, we face a tradeoff between more accurate models relying on many features and less accurate models relying on a few features aligned with clinician intuition. Complicating matters, many EHR features tend to be under-coded degrading the accuracy of smaller models. In this study we develop two sets of high-performance risk scores: (i) an unconstrained model built from all available features; and (ii) a pipeline that learns a small set of clinical concepts before training a risk predictor. Learned concepts boost performance over the corresponding features (C-index 0.858 vs. 0.844) and demonstrate improvements over (i) when evaluated out-of-sample (subsequent time periods). Our models outperform previous works (C-index 0.844-0.872 vs. 0.598-0.810).
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37128459PMC10148297W4293789303What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
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