ArticlePopulation research and policy review2023
The Impact of Health and Education on Labor Force Participation in Aging Societies: Projections for the United States and Germany from Dynamic Microsimulations.
Article in Population research and policy review, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Demographic Change and the Future of Austria's Long-Term-Care Allowance: A Dynamic Microsimulation Study.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- A Geographic Weighted Regression Analysis of the Health Opportunity Index and Stroke Prevalence in Health and Human Services Region 3.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025Article
- The interplay of health, economy, and politics in MENA region migration patterns: a panel data analysis (2000-2020).BMC public health · 2025Article
- The impact of ageing, socio-economic differences and the evolution of morbidity on future health expenditure - a dynamic microsimulation.BMC health services research · 2025Article
- The Global Burden of Periodontal Disease: A Narrative Review on Unveiling Socioeconomic and Health Challenges.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025Review
- The Digitized Memory Clinic.Nature reviews. Neurology · 2024Review
- Effects of Dance-Based Aerobic Training on Mental Health and Quality of Life in Older Adults with Mild Cognitive Impairment.Journal of personalized medicine · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We project the labor force in the United States to 2060 and contrast the outcomes with comparative projections for Germany. In both countries, the population will age, but the demographic dynamics are fundamentally different. According to our dynamic microsimulations, the labor force in the U.S. will increase by 17 percent between 2020 and 2060 (about 29 million workers) despite population aging. In contrast, the labor force in Germany will decline by 11 percent (about 4.5 million workers). Our baseline projections indicate that an expansion of education will increase the labor force by about 3 million persons in the United States and about half a million persons in Germany by 2060. In several what-if scenarios, we examine the effects of further expanding education and of removing health barriers on labor force participation. Higher educational attainment among those with currently low education has the largest impact on labor force participation, relative to the additional years of schooling. However, health improvements and the labor market integration of people with health limitations suggest a larger increase in labor force participation rates. Using Sweden as a benchmark, we show that reducing the health participation gap would increase the U.S. labor force by as much as 13 million people in 2060 (+6.8 percent compared to our baseline).
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.