Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37119081›Full record

Observational studyJournal of the American Heart Association2023

A New Clinical Prediction Rule for Infective Endocarditis in Emergency Department Patients With Fever: Definition and First Validation of the CREED Score.

Marcello Covino, Antonio De Vita, Alessia d'Aiello, Salvatore Emanuele Ravenna, Aureliano Ruggio, Lorenzo Genuardi, Benedetta Simeoni, Andrea Piccioni, Giuseppe De Matteis, Rita Murri and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Marcello CovinoEmergency Medicine Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A, Gemelli, IRCCS Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-6709-2531
Antonio De VitaUniversità Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-8725-7447
Alessia d'AielloDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A, Gemelli, IRCCS Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3501-8684
Salvatore Emanuele RavennaDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A, Gemelli, IRCCS Rome Italy.
Aureliano RuggioDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A, Gemelli, IRCCS Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-3014-9039
Lorenzo GenuardiDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A, Gemelli, IRCCS Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-1641-6559
Benedetta SimeoniEmergency Medicine Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A, Gemelli, IRCCS Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-8426-1309
Andrea PiccioniEmergency Medicine Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A, Gemelli, IRCCS Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5703-8737
Giuseppe De MatteisDepartment of Internal Medicine Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A, Gemelli, IRCCS Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2982-3951
Rita MurriUniversità Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-9468-5458
Antonio Maria LeoneUniversità Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-1276-9883
Andrea FlexUniversità Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2664-4165
Antonio GasbarriniUniversità Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Rome Italy.
Giovanna LiuzzoUniversità Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-5714-0907
Massimo MassettiUniversità Cattolica del Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Rome Italy.
Francesco FranceschiEmergency Medicine Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A, Gemelli, IRCCS Rome Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-6266-445X
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore · ITAgostino Gemelli University Polyclinic · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Infective endocarditis (IE) could be suspected in any febrile patients admitted to the emergency department (ED). This study was aimed at assessing clinical criteria predictive of IE and identifying and prospectively validating a sensible and easy-to-use clinical prediction score for the diagnosis of IE in the ED. Methods and Results We conducted a retrospective observational study, enrolling consecutive patients with fever admitted to the ED between January 2015 and December 2019 and subsequently hospitalized. Several clinical and anamnestic standardized variables were collected and evaluated for the association with IE diagnosis. We derived a multivariate prediction model by logistic regression analysis. The identified predictors were assigned a score point value to obtain the Clinical Rule for Infective Endocarditis in the Emergency Department (CREED) score. To validate the CREED score we conducted a prospective observational study between January 2020 and December 2021, enrolling consecutive febrile patients hospitalized after the ED visit, and evaluating the association between the CREED score values and the IE diagnosis. A total of 15 689 patients (median age, 71 [56-81] years; 54.1% men) were enrolled in the retrospective cohort, and IE was diagnosed in 267 (1.7%). The CREED score included 12 variables: male sex, anemia, dialysis, pacemaker, recent hospitalization, recent stroke, chest pain, specific infective diagnosis, valvular heart disease, valvular prosthesis, previous endocarditis, and clinical signs of suspect endocarditis. The CREED score identified 4 risk groups for IE diagnosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.874 (0.849-0.899). The prospective cohort included 13 163 patients, with 130 (1.0%) IE diagnoses. The CREED score had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.881 (0.848-0.913) in the validation cohort, not significantly different from the one calculated in the retrospective cohort (

Indexed as

EndocarditisEndocarditis, BacterialAgedClinical Decision RulesEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleFeverHumansMaleProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesRisk Factorsclinical prediction ruleCREED scoreemergency departmentinfective endocarditis

Identifiers

PMID37119081
PMCPMC10227214
OpenAlexW4367369531

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.