Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37117983›Full record

ArticleNature food2021

Food and feed trade has greatly impacted global land and nitrogen use efficiencies over 1961-2017.

Zhaohai Bai, Wenqi Ma, Hao Zhao, Mengchu Guo, Oene Oenema, Pete Smith, Gerard Velthof, Xia Liu, Chunsheng Hu, Peiguang Wang and 6 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Decline in carbon emission intensity of global agriculture has stagnated recently.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Zhaohai Bai *Key Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7685-5441
Wenqi Ma *College of Resources & Environmental Sciences, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding, China.
Hao ZhaoKey Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3507-6243
Mengchu GuoCollege of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Centre for Resources, Environment and Food Security, Key Lab of Plant-Soil Interactions, MOE, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China.
Oene OenemaWageningen University, Department of Soil Quality, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Pete SmithInstitute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3784-1124
Gerard VelthofWageningen Environmental Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Xia LiuSchool of Mathematics and Science, Hebei GEO University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Chunsheng HuKey Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, China.
Peiguang WangCollege of Mathematics and Information Science, Hebei University, Baoding, China.
Nannan ZhangKey Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, China.
Ling LiuKey Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, China.
Sujuan GuoKey Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, China.
Xiangwen FanKey Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, China.
Wilfried WiniwarterInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7131-1496
Lin MaKey Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, China. malin1979@sjziam.ac.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1761-0158

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/N013484/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

International trade of agricultural products has complicated and far-reaching impacts on land and nitrogen use efficiencies. We analysed the productivity of cropland and livestock and associated use of feed and fertilizer efficiency for over 240 countries, and estimated these countries' cumulative contributions to imports and exports of 190 agricultural products for the period 1961-2017. Crop trade has increased global land and partial fertilizer nitrogen productivities in terms of protein production, which equalled savings of 2,270 Mha cropland and 480 Tg synthetic fertilizer nitrogen over the analysed period. However, crop trade decreased global cropland productivity when productivity is expressed on an energy (per calorie) basis. Agricultural trade has generally moved towards optimality, that is, has increased global land and nitrogen use efficiencies during 1961-2017, but remains at a relatively low level. Overall, mixed impacts of trade on resource use indicate the need to rethink trade patterns and improve their optimality.

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.