Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37117947›Full record

ArticleNature food2022

A shift from cattle to camel and goat farming can sustain milk production with lower inputs and emissions in north sub-Saharan Africa's drylands.

Jaber Rahimi, Erwann Fillol, John Y Mutua, Giuseppina Cinardi, Timothy P Robinson, An M O Notenbaert, Polly J Ericksen, Michael W Graham, Klaus Butterbach-Bahl

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  7. Climate Change and Livestock Welfare in the Alps: A Comprehensive Review.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jaber RahimiKarlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU), Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany. Jaber.rahimi@kit.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-2754-2358
Erwann FillolAction Against Hunger (AAH), Regional Office for Western and Central Africa, Dakar, Senegal.
John Y MutuaUniversity of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Giuseppina CinardiFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, Italy.
Timothy P RobinsonFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-4266-963X
An M O NotenbaertTropical Forages Program, International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-6266-2240
Polly J EricksenInternational Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), Mazingira Centre, Nairobi, Kenya.
Michael W GrahamInternational Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), Mazingira Centre, Nairobi, Kenya.
Klaus Butterbach-BahlKarlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU), Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9499-6598

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is increasingly putting milk production from cattle-based dairy systems in north sub-Saharan Africa (NSSA) under stress, threatening livelihoods and food security. Here we combine livestock heat stress frequency, dry matter feed production and water accessibility data to understand where environmental changes in NSSA's drylands are jeopardizing cattle milk production. We show that environmental conditions worsened for ∼17% of the study area. Increasing goat and camel populations by ∼14% (∼7.7 million) and ∼10% (∼1.2 million), respectively, while reducing the dairy cattle population by ∼24% (∼5.9 million), could result in ∼0.14 Mt (+5.7%) higher milk production, lower water (-1,683.6 million m

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.