Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37117673›Full record

ArticleNature food2021

More efficient phosphorus use can avoid cropland expansion.

José M Mogollón, Alexander F Bouwman, Arthur H W Beusen, Luis Lassaletta, Hans J M van Grinsven, Henk Westhoek

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

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  18. Prospects of genetics and breeding for low-phosphate tolerance: an integrated approach from soil to cell.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2022
    Review
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

José M Mogollón *Institute of Environmental Sciences (CML), Leiden University, Leiden, the Netherlands. j.m.mogollon@cml.leidenuniv.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7110-5470
Alexander F Bouwman *Department of Earth Sciences - Geochemistry, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Arthur H W BeusenDepartment of Earth Sciences - Geochemistry, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0104-8615
Luis LassalettaCEIGRAM/Department of Agricultural Production, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9428-2149
Hans J M van GrinsvenPBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7304-0706
Henk WesthoekPBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0313-531X

Funding

Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research) ALW 869.15.014Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research) ALW 869.15.015Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research) NWA.1235.18.201
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Global projections indicate that approximately 500 Mha of new arable land will be required to meet crop demand by 2050. Applying a dynamic phosphorus (P) pool simulator under different socioeconomic scenarios, we find that cropland expansion can be avoided with less than 7% additional cumulative P fertilizer over 2006-2050 when comparing with cropland expansion scenarios, mostly targeted at nutrient-depleted soils of sub-Saharan Africa. Additional P fertilizer would replenish P withdrawn from crop production, thereby allowing higher productivity levels. We also show that further agronomic improvements such as those that allow for better (legacy) P use in soils could reduce both P outflows to freshwater and coastal ecosystems and the overall demand for P fertilizer.

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.