ArticleNature food2021
Heat stress will detrimentally impact future livestock production in East Africa.
Article in Nature food, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.
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The trial behind it
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Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed.
- Animal production under climate change: a global scientometric analysis of research structure, thematic evolution, and knowledge gaps.Tropical animal health and production · 2026Review
- Multi-omics dissection of heat stress reveals CIITA as a central regulator of metabolic thermotolerance in cattle (Bos taurus).Communications biology · 2026Article
- Climate Change Reshapes Thermal Suitability for Dairy Cattle in Jiangsu Province (1961-2020).Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2026Article
- Natural and artificial abiotic factors: impacts on the seminal quality of Dorper rams in a semiarid region.International journal of biometeorology · 2026Article
- Single-Nucleus Transcriptome Reveals Cellular Heterogeneity and Transcriptional Response to Heat Stress in Skeletal Muscle.Journal of cachexia, sarcopenia and muscle · 2026Article
- Bioclimatic Zoning and Climate Change Impacts on Dairy Cattle in Maranhão, Brazil.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2025Article
- Heat Stress Effects on Animal Health and Performance in Monogastric Livestock: Physiological Responses, Molecular Mechanisms, and Management Interventions.Veterinary sciences · 2025Review
- Heat stress causes economic and welfare disparities across agroecological zones in Burkina Faso.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- Climate change impacts on livestock in Brazil.International journal of biometeorology · 2024Article
- Environmental Heat Stress Decreases Sperm Motility by Disrupting the Diurnal Rhythms of Rumen Microbes and Metabolites in Hu Rams.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024Article
- Heat stress from current and predicted increases in temperature impairs lambing rates and birth weights in the Australian sheep flock.Nature food · 2024Article
- Selection Signal Analysis Reveals Hainan Yellow Cattle Are Being Selectively Bred for Heat Tolerance.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2024Article
- Association of Phenotypic Markers of Heat Tolerance with Australian Genomic Estimated Breeding Values and Dairy Cattle Selection Indices.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2023Article
- Novel Insights to Assess Climate Resilience in Goats Using a Holistic Approach of Skin-Based Advanced NGS Technologies.International journal of molecular sciences · 2023Article
- Bioclimatic Zoning for Sheep Farming through Geostatistical Modeling in the State of Pernambuco, Brazil.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2023Article
- Livestock exposure to future cumulated climate-related stressors in West Africa.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Article
- Genome-wide analysis identified candidate variants and genes associated with heat stress adaptation in Egyptian sheep breeds.Frontiers in genetics · 2022Article
- Gut Microbiota and Serum Metabolite Potential Interactions in Growing Layer Hens Exposed to High-Ambient Temperature.Frontiers in nutrition · 2022Article
- Goat as the ideal climate-resilient animal model in tropical environment: revisiting advantages over other livestock species.International journal of biometeorology · 2021Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change-induced increases in temperature and humidity are predicted to impact East African food systems, but the extent to which heat stress negatively affects livestock production in this region is poorly understood. Here we use ERA-Interim reanalysis data to show that the frequency of 'Severe/Danger' heat events for dairy cattle, beef cattle, sheep, goats, swine and poultry significantly increased from 1981 to 2010. Using a multi-model ensemble of climate change projections for 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 (under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 by the coordinated regional-climate downscaling experiment for Africa (CORDEX-AFRICA)), we show that the frequency of dangerous heat-stress conditions and the average number of consecutive days with heat stress events will significantly increase, particularly for swine and poultry. Our assessment suggests that 4-19% of livestock production occurs in areas where dangerous heat stress events are likely to increase in frequency from 2071 to 2100. With demand for animal products predicted to grow in East Africa, production-specific heat-stress mitigation measures and breeding programmes for increasing heat tolerance are urgently needed for future livestock sector productivity-and future food security-in East Africa.
Identifiers
37117410What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.