ArticleThe Gerontologist2024
Population Aging and Heat Exposure in the 21st Century: Which U.S. Regions Are at Greatest Risk and Why?
Article in The Gerontologist, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed, 39 citations in OpenAlex.
- From carbon reduction to care quality: a stakeholder-informed agenda for decarbonizing care homes.The Gerontologist · 2026Article
- Grey and green: can the two walk together? Challenges to climate planning for an aging population: perspectives of Israeli policy stakeholders and planners.The Gerontologist · 2026Article
- Older adults and extreme weather events: recommendations from the Research Centers Collaborative Network workshop.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026Article
- Climate Change and Sarcopenia: Mechanisms, Vulnerabilities, and Public Health Implications.Calcified tissue international · 2026Review
- Article
- What's the TEE: Metrics of Temperature Extremes in Europe NUTS Regions (1980-2024).Scientific data · 2025Article
- Association of ambient temperature and blood pressure in the Jackson Heart Study.Journal of human hypertension · 2025Article
- A digital heat early warning system for older adults.NPJ digital medicine · 2025Article
- Heat exposure and self-rated health in older Chinese adults: the mediating roles of chronic disease and intergenerational support, 2008-2018 CLHLS.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Burn Out Reimagined: Extreme Heat, Work Disability, and Sociodemographic Disparities in America.Generations (San Francisco, Calif.) · 2025Article
- Optimized Implementation Strategies for Traditional Chinese Medicine Management Interventions in Sub-Healthy Elderly Population and Their Impact on Quality of Life Enhancement.Clinical interventions in aging · 2025Article
- Global, regional, national burden and trends of unintentional injuries from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2035: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study 2021.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Performance Under Fire: Older Adult Cognitive Risks and Protections Under Heat Strain.The Gerontologist · 2024Article
- A framework for ageing and health vulnerabilities in a changing climate.Nature climate change · 2024Article
- Inequalities in global residential cooling energy use to 2050.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Senior Health in a Changing Climate: Unique Needs of a Complex Population.Environmental health perspectives · 2024Article
- Identifying groups at-risk to extreme heat: Intersections of age, race/ethnicity, and socioeconomic status.Environment international · 2024Article
- Global projections of heat exposure of older adults.Nature communications · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND
objectivesThe co-occurring trends of population aging and climate change mean that rising numbers of U.S. older adults are at risk of intensifying heat exposure. We estimate county-level variations in older populations' heat exposure in the early (1995-2014) and mid (2050) 21st century. We identify the extent to which rising exposures are attributable to climate change versus population aging. RESEARCH DESIGN AND
methodsWe estimate older adults' heat exposure in 3,109 counties in the 48 contiguous U.S. states. Analyses use NASA NEX Global Daily Downscaled Product (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) climate data and county-level projections for the size and distribution of the U.S. age 69+ population.
resultsPopulation aging and rising temperatures are documented throughout the United States, with particular "hotspots" in the Deep South, Florida, and parts of the rural Midwest. Increases in heat exposure by 2050 will be especially steep in historically colder regions with large older populations in New England, the upper Midwest, and rural Mountain regions. Rising temperatures are driving exposure in historically colder regions, whereas population aging is driving exposure in historically warm southern regions. DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Interventions to address the impacts of temperature extremes on older adult well-being should consider the geographic distribution and drivers of this exposure. In historically cooler areas where climate change is driving exposures, investments in warning systems may be productive, whereas investments in health care and social services infrastructures are essential in historically hot regions where exposures are driven by population aging.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.