The Feasibility and Performance of Total Hip Replacement Prediction Deep Learning Algorithm with Real World Data.

(1) Background: Hip degenerative disorder is a common geriatric disease is the main causes to lead to total hip replacement (THR). The surgical timing of THR is crucial for post-operative recovery. Deep learning (DL) algorithms can be used to detect anomalies in medical images and predict the need for THR. The real world data (RWD) were used to validate the artificial intelligence and DL algorithm in medicine but there was no previous study to prove its function in THR prediction. (2) Methods: We designed a sequential two-stage hip replacement prediction deep learning algorithm to identify the possibility of THR in three months of hip joints by plain pelvic radiography (PXR). We also collected RWD to validate the performance of this algorithm. (3) Results: The RWD totally included 3766 PXRs from 2018 to 2019. The overall accuracy of the algorithm was 0.9633; sensitivity was 0.9450; specificity was 1.000 and the precision was 1.000. The negative predictive value was 0.9009, the false negative rate was 0.0550, and the F1 score was 0.9717. The area under curve was 0.972 with 95% confidence interval from 0.953 to 0.987. (4) Conclusions: In summary, this DL algorithm can provide an accurate and reliable method for detecting hip degeneration and predicting the need for further THR. RWD offered an alternative support of the algorithm and validated its function to save time and cost.