Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37105978›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Sediment delivery to sustain the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta under climate change and anthropogenic impacts.

Jessica L Raff, Steven L Goodbred, Jennifer L Pickering, Ryan S Sincavage, John C Ayers, Md Saddam Hossain, Carol A Wilson, Chris Paola, Michael S Steckler, Dhiman R Mondal and 14 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Jessica L RaffDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA. jessica.l.raff@vanderbilt.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5711-9622
Steven L GoodbredDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA. steven.goodbred@vanderbilt.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7626-9864
Jennifer L PickeringCenter for Applied Earth Science and Engineering Research, The University of Memphis, Memphis, TN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3666-6907
Ryan S SincavageDepartment of Geology, Radford University, Radford, VA, USA.
John C AyersDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2737-4718
Md Saddam HossainCenter for Applied Earth Science and Engineering Research, The University of Memphis, Memphis, TN, USA.
Carol A WilsonDepartment of Geology and Geophysics, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, USA.
Chris PaolaDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, St Anthony Falls Laboratory, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7398-6163
Michael S StecklerLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.
Dhiman R MondalHaystack Observatory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Westford, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0708-6575
Jean-Louis GrimaudCentre de Géosciences, PSL University/ MINES Paris, Fontainebleau, France.
Celine Jo GrallLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, USA.
Kimberly G RogersInstitute for Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA.
Kazi Matin AhmedDepartment of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Syed Humayun AkhterBangladesh Open University, Board Bazar, Gazipur, Bangladesh.
Brandee N CarlsonDepartment of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
Elizabeth L ChamberlainSoil Geography and Landscape Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands.
Meagan DejterDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
Jonathan M GilliganDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1375-6686
Richard P HaleDepartment of Ocean & Earth Sciences, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7670-8959
Mahfuzur R KhanDepartment of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2960-9648
Md Golam MuktadirDepartment of Environmental Science, Bangladesh University of Professionals, Dhaka, Bangladesh.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-7772
Md Munsur RahmanInstitute of Water and Flood Management, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Lauren A WilliamsDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) 0968354National Science Foundation (NSF) 1342946National Science Foundation (NSF) 1600319
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The principal nature-based solution for offsetting relative sea-level rise in the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta is the unabated delivery, dispersal, and deposition of the rivers' ~1 billion-tonne annual sediment load. Recent hydrological transport modeling suggests that strengthening monsoon precipitation in the 21st century could increase this sediment delivery 34-60%; yet other studies demonstrate that sediment could decline 15-80% if planned dams and river diversions are fully implemented. We validate these modeled ranges by developing a comprehensive field-based sediment budget that quantifies the supply of Ganges-Brahmaputra river sediment under varying Holocene climate conditions. Our data reveal natural responses in sediment supply comparable to previously modeled results and suggest that increased sediment delivery may be capable of offsetting accelerated sea-level rise. This prospect for a naturally sustained Ganges-Brahmaputra delta presents possibilities beyond the dystopian future often posed for this system, but the implementation of currently proposed dams and diversions would preclude such opportunities.

Identifiers

PMID37105978
PMCPMC10140268

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.