Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37104291›Full record

Trial reportPLoS medicine2023

A nutritional biomarker score of the Mediterranean diet and incident type 2 diabetes: Integrated analysis of data from the MedLey randomised controlled trial and the EPIC-InterAct case-cohort study.

Jakub G Sobiecki, Fumiaki Imamura, Courtney R Davis, Stephen J Sharp, Albert Koulman, Jonathan M Hodgson, Marcela Guevara, Matthias B Schulze, Ju-Sheng Zheng, Claudia Agnoli and 24 more

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled TrialObservational Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in PLoS medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Observational
  5. Review
  6. The Role of the Gut Microbiome in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Observational
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Impact of a short-term Mediterranean diet intervention on plasma metabolites: a pilot study.Metabolomics : Official journal of the Metabolomic Society · 2024
    Article
  17. Review
  18. [Research Progress of the Effect of Mediterranean Diet on the Correlation of Lung Cancer].Zhongguo fei ai za zhi = Chinese journal of lung cancer · 2024
    Review
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

34 authors at 20 institutions in 13 countries.

Jakub G SobieckiMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Institute of Metabolic Science, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2641-2313
Fumiaki ImamuraMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Institute of Metabolic Science, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6841-8396
Courtney R DavisAlliance for Research in Exercise, Nutrition and Activity, UniSA Clinical and Health Sciences, University of South Australia, Adelaide, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-3866-2603
Stephen J SharpMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Institute of Metabolic Science, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2375-1440
Albert KoulmanMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Institute of Metabolic Science, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9998-051X
Jonathan M HodgsonNutrition & Health Innovation Research Institute, School of Medical and Health Sciences, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-6184-7764
Marcela GuevaraNavarra Public Health Institute, Pamplona, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-9242-6364
Matthias B SchulzeDepartment of Molecular Epidemiology, German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Nuthetal, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0830-5277
Ju-Sheng ZhengMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Institute of Metabolic Science, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6560-4890
Claudia AgnoliEpidemiology and Prevention Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori di Milano, Milano, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-4472-1179
Catalina BonetUnit of Nutrition and Cancer, Catalan Institute of Oncology-ICO, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
Sandra M Colorado-YoharCIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-6700-0780
Guy FagherazziDeep Digital Phenotyping Research Unit, Department of Precision Health, Luxembourg Insitute of Health, Strassen, Luxembourg.ORCID 0000-0001-5033-5966
Paul W FranksDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-0520-7604
Thomas E GundersenVitas AS, Oslo, Norway.
Franziska JannaschDepartment of Molecular Epidemiology, German Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbruecke, Nuthetal, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-3478-4758
Rudolf KaaksDivision of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Verena KatzkeDivision of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6509-6555
Esther Molina-MontesCIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-0428-2426
Peter M NilssonDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-5652-8459
Domenico PalliCancer Risk Factors and Life-Style Epidemiology Unit, Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and Clinical Network-ISPRO, Florence, Italy.
Salvatore PanicoDepartment of Mental, Physical Health and Preventive Medicine, University "L. Vanvitelli", Naples, Italy.
Keren PapierCancer Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4102-6835
Olov RolandssonDepartment of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Family Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Carlotta SacerdoteUnit of Cancer Epidemiology, Città della Salute e della Scienza University-Hospital, Turin, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-8008-5096
Anne TjønnelandDanish Cancer Society Research Center, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-4385-2097
Tammy Y N TongDepartment of Mental, Physical Health and Preventive Medicine, University "L. Vanvitelli", Naples, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-0284-8959
Yvonne T van der SchouwJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4605-435X
John DaneshBHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Adam S ButterworthBHF Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6915-9015
Elio RiboliSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6795-6080
Karen J MurphyAlliance for Research in Exercise, Nutrition and Activity, UniSA Clinical and Health Sciences, University of South Australia, Adelaide, Australia.
Nicholas J WarehamMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Institute of Metabolic Science, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-1422-2993
Nita G ForouhiMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Institute of Metabolic Science, Cambridge Biomedical Campus, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5041-248X
University of Cambridge · GBFederico II University Hospital · ITGerman Cancer Research Center · DELund University · SEUniversity of South Australia · AUAzienda Ospedaliera Citta' della Salute e della Scienza di Torino · ITBellvitge University Hospital · ESDeutsches Diabetes-Zentrum e.V. · DEEdith Cowan University · AUFondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori · ITImperial College London · GBInserm · FRInstituto de Salud Pública de Navarra · ESPiedmont Reference Center for Epidemiology and Cancer Prevention · ITUmeå University · SEUniversidad de Antioquia · COUniversidad de Granada · ESUniversity of Copenhagen · DKUniversity of Oxford · GBUniversity of Potsdam · DE

Funding

British Heart Foundation RG/13/13/30194British Heart Foundation RG/18/13/33946Cancer Research UK 14136Cancer Research UK 29017European Research Council 268834Medical Research Council G1000143Medical Research Council MC_UU_00006/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_00006/3Medical Research Council MR/L003120/1Medical Research Council MR/M012190/1Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSelf-reported adherence to the Mediterranean diet has been modestly inversely associated with incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in cohort studies. There is uncertainty about the validity and magnitude of this association due to subjective reporting of diet. The association has not been evaluated using an objectively measured biomarker of the Mediterranean diet. METHODS AND

findingsWe derived a biomarker score based on 5 circulating carotenoids and 24 fatty acids that discriminated between the Mediterranean or habitual diet arms of a parallel design, 6-month partial-feeding randomised controlled trial (RCT) conducted between 2013 and 2014, the MedLey trial (128 participants out of 166 randomised). We applied this biomarker score in an observational study, the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-InterAct case-cohort study, to assess the association of the score with T2D incidence over an average of 9.7 years of follow-up since the baseline (1991 to 1998). We included 22,202 participants, of whom 9,453 were T2D cases, with relevant biomarkers from an original case-cohort of 27,779 participants sampled from a cohort of 340,234 people. As a secondary measure of the Mediterranean diet, we used a score estimated from dietary-self report. Within the trial, the biomarker score discriminated well between the 2 arms; the cross-validated C-statistic was 0.88 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82 to 0.94). The score was inversely associated with incident T2D in EPIC-InterAct: the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation of the score was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65 to 0.77) following adjustment for sociodemographic, lifestyle and medical factors, and adiposity. In comparison, the HR per standard deviation of the self-reported Mediterranean diet was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.86 to 0.95). Assuming the score was causally associated with T2D, higher adherence to the Mediterranean diet in Western European adults by 10 percentiles of the score was estimated to reduce the incidence of T2D by 11% (95% CI: 7% to 14%). The study limitations included potential measurement error in nutritional biomarkers, unclear specificity of the biomarker score to the Mediterranean diet, and possible residual confounding.

conclusionsThese findings suggest that objectively assessed adherence to the Mediterranean diet is associated with lower risk of T2D and that even modestly higher adherence may have the potential to reduce the population burden of T2D meaningfully.

trial registrationAustralian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR) ACTRN12613000602729 https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=363860.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Diet, MediterraneanNeoplasmsAdultAustraliaBiomarkersCohort StudiesHumansRisk FactorsBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID37104291
PMCPMC10138823
OpenAlexW4367174766

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.