Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37103994›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2023

Spatiotemporal and Seasonal Trends of Class A and B Notifiable Infectious Diseases in China: Retrospective Analysis.

Junyao Zheng, Ning Zhang, Guoquan Shen, Fengchao Liang, Yang Zhao, Xiaochen He, Ying Wang, Rongxin He, Wenna Chen, Hao Xue and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Junyao ZhengChina Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3128-9957
Ning ZhangSchool of Public Policy and Administration, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5841-4933
Guoquan ShenSchool of Public Administration and Policy, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-2383-4687
Fengchao LiangSchool of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0003-2088-0722
Yang ZhaoThe George Institute for Global Health, Peking University Health Science Center, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6011-5948
Xiaochen HeSchool of Public Policy and Administration, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5987-9246
Ying WangSchool of Public Policy and Administration, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0933-3656
Rongxin HeVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9036-3416
Wenna ChenCenter for Chinese Public Administration Research and School of Government, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0003-2543-8271
Hao XueStanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-9683-5541
Yue ShenLaboratory for Urban Future, School of Urban Planning and Design, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3998-4014
Yang FuDepartment of public administration, School of Government, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6915-2972
Wei-Hong ZhangInternational Centre for Reproductive Health, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-0380-770X
Lei ZhangChina-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, China.ORCID 0000-0003-2343-084X
Samir BhattMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, School of Public Health, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0891-4611
Ying MaoSchool of Public Policy and Administration, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.ORCID 0000-0002-8271-2524
Bin ZhuSchool of Public Health and Emergency Management, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0091-6356

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChina is the most populous country globally and has made significant achievements in the control of infectious diseases over the last decades. The 2003 SARS epidemic triggered the initiation of the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP). Since then, numerous studies have investigated the epidemiological features and trends of individual infectious diseases in China; however, few considered the changing spatiotemporal trends and seasonality of these infectious diseases over time.

objectiveThis study aims to systematically review the spatiotemporal trends and seasonal characteristics of class A and class B notifiable infectious diseases in China during 2005-2020.

methodsWe extracted the incidence and mortality data of 8 types (27 diseases) of notifiable infectious diseases from the CISDCP. We used the Mann-Kendall and Sen's methods to investigate the diseases' temporal trends, Moran I statistic for their geographical distribution, and circular distribution analysis for their seasonality.

resultsBetween January 2005 and December 2020, 51,028,733 incident cases and 261,851 attributable deaths were recorded. Pertussis (P=.03), dengue fever (P=.01), brucellosis (P=.001), scarlet fever (P=.02), AIDS (P<.001), syphilis (P<.001), hepatitis C (P<.001) and hepatitis E (P=.04) exhibited significant upward trends. Furthermore, measles (P<.001), bacillary and amebic dysentery (P<.001), malaria (P=.04), dengue fever (P=.006), brucellosis (P=.03), and tuberculosis (P=.003) exhibited significant seasonal patterns. We observed marked disease burden-related geographic disparities and heterogeneities. Notably, high-risk areas for various infectious diseases have remained relatively unchanged since 2005. In particular, hemorrhagic fever and brucellosis were largely concentrated in Northeast China; neonatal tetanus, typhoid and paratyphoid, Japanese encephalitis, leptospirosis, and AIDS in Southwest China; BAD in North China; schistosomiasis in Central China; anthrax, tuberculosis, and hepatitis A in Northwest China; rabies in South China; and gonorrhea in East China. However, the geographical distribution of syphilis, scarlet fever, and hepatitis E drifted from coastal to inland provinces during 2005-2020.

conclusionsThe overall infectious disease burden in China is declining; however, hepatitis C and E, bacterial infections, and sexually transmitted infections continue to multiply, many of which have spread from coastal to inland provinces.

Indexed as

Acquired Immunodeficiency SyndromeBrucellosisCommunicable DiseasesDengueHepatitis CHepatitis EScarlet FeverSyphilisTuberculosisHumansInfant, NewbornRetrospective StudiesSeasonsnotifiable infectious diseasesseasonal featurespatial disparitiesspatial epidemiologytemporal trends

Identifiers

PMID37103994
PMCPMC10176137

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.