Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37087533›Full record

ArticleNPJ precision oncology2023

Potential utility of risk stratification for multicancer screening with liquid biopsy tests.

Elle S Kim, Robert B Scharpf, Montserrat Garcia-Closas, Kala Visvanathan, Victor E Velculescu, Nilanjan Chatterjee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ precision oncology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Projecting individualized probabilities of lifetime all-cancer risk.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Elle S KimDepartment of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Robert B ScharpfDepartment of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Montserrat Garcia-ClosasDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute of Health, 9609 Medical Center Drive 7E-342, Rockville, MD, 20850, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1033-2650
Kala VisvanathanDepartment of Oncology, The Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Victor E VelculescuDepartment of Oncology, The Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Nilanjan ChatterjeeDepartment of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA. nchatte2@jhu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9060-008X

Funding

Large-Scale Genetic Analyses of Human CancerR01CA121113 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI ANAGNOSTOU, VALSAMO, VELCULESCU, VICTOR E. · 2006 to 2022
$4.3M
Robust Methods for Polygenic Analysis to Inform Disease Etiology and Enhance Risk PredictionR01HG010480 · NHGRI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHATTERJEE, NILANJAN · 2019 to 2023
$2.8M
Multifactoral breast cancer risk prediction accounting for ethnic and tumor diversityU01CA249866 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHATTERJEE, NILANJAN · 2020 to 2023
$2.3M
Division of Cancer Prevention, National Cancer Institute (NCI Division of Cancer Prevention) 1 1U01CA249866-01NCI NIH HHS R01 CA121113NCI NIH HHS U01 CA249866U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Human Genome Research Institute (NHGRI) 1 R01 HG010480-01
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Our proof-of-concept study reveals the potential of risk stratification by the combined effects of age, polygenic risk scores (PRS), and non-genetic risk factors in increasing the risk-benefit balance of rapidly emerging non-invasive multicancer early detection (MCED) liquid biopsy tests. We develop and validate sex-specific pan-cancer risk scores (PCRSs), defined by the combination of body mass index, smoking, family history of cancers, and cancer-specific polygenic risk scores (PRSs), to predict the absolute risk of developing at least one of the many common cancer types. We demonstrate the added value of PRSs in improving the predictive performance of the risk factors only model and project the positive and negative predictive values for two promising multicancer screening tests across risk strata defined by age and PCRS.

Identifiers

PMID37087533
PMCPMC10122653

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.