Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37085289›Full record

ArticleAnnals of the rheumatic diseases2023

Machine learning identifies clusters of longitudinal autoantibody profiles predictive of systemic lupus erythematosus disease outcomes.

May Yee Choi, Irene Chen, Ann Elaine Clarke, Marvin J Fritzler, Katherine A Buhler, Murray Urowitz, John Hanly, Yvan St-Pierre, Caroline Gordon, Sang-Cheol Bae and 31 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of the rheumatic diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
17.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 69 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

41 authors at 20 institutions in 10 countries.

May Yee ChoiMedicine, University of Calgary Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada may.choi@ucalgary.ca.ORCID 0000-0003-3760-2737
Irene ChenDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Ann Elaine ClarkeMedicine, University of Calgary Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Marvin J FritzlerMedicine, University of Calgary Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-1652-6608
Katherine A BuhlerMedicine, University of Calgary Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Murray UrowitzCenter for Prognosis Studies in the Rheumatic Diseases, Toronto Western Hospital, University of Toronto, Lupus Clinic, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7506-9166
John HanlyDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine and Department of Pathology, Queen Elizabeth II Health Sciences Centre and Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Yvan St-PierreMedicine, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Center, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Caroline GordonRheumatology Research Group, Institute of Inflammation and Ageing, College of Medical and Dental Sciences, Birmingham University Medical School, Birmingham, West Midlands, UK.
Sang-Cheol BaeRheumatology, Hanyang University Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Hanyang University Institute for Rheumatology and Hanyang University Institute of Bioscience and Biotechnology, Seoul, The Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-4658-1093
Juanita Romero-DiazImmunology and Rheumatology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición, Mexico City, Mexico.
Jorge Sanchez-GuerreroMount Sinai Hospital and University Health Network, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Sasha BernatskyDivisions of Rheumatology and Clinical Epidemiology, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9515-2802
Daniel J WallaceDivision of Rheumatology, Cedars-Sinai/David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2502-1372
David Alan IsenbergCentre for Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9514-2455
Anisur RahmanCentre for Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2346-4484
Joan T MerrillDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology, Oklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA.
Paul R FortinDivision of Rheumatology, CHU de Québec - Université Laval, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-7278-2596
Dafna D GladmanCenter for Prognosis Studies in the Rheumatic Diseases, Toronto Western Hospital, University of Toronto, Lupus Clinic, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9074-0592
Ian N BruceEpidemiology Unit, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Michelle PetriDivision of Rheumatology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1441-5373
Ellen M GinzlerDepartment of Medicine, SUNY Downstate Medical Center, Brooklyn, New York, USA.
Mary Anne DooleyThurston Arthritis Research Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Rosalind Ramsey-GoldmanDepartment of Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, Northwestern University and Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Susan ManziMedicine, Allegheny Health Network, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Andreas JönsenClinical Sciences, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
Graciela S AlarcónDepartment of Medicine, The University of Alabama at Birmingham Heersink School of Medicine, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5190-9175
Ronald F van VollenhovenRheumatology & Immunology Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-6438-8663
Cynthia AranowDivision of Autoimmune and Musculoskeletal Disease, Feinstein Institute for Medical Research, Manhasset, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9299-0053
Meggan MackayDivision of Autoimmune and Musculoskeletal Disease, Feinstein Institute for Medical Research, Manhasset, New York, USA.
Guillermo Ruiz-IrastorzaAutoimmune Diseases Research Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, BioCruces Health Research Institute, Hospital Universitario Cruces, University of the Basque Country, Barakaldo, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-7788-1043
Sam LimDivision of Rheumatology, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Murat InancDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, Istanbul University, Istanbul Medical Faculty, Istanbul, Turkey.ORCID 0000-0002-6376-5583
Kenneth KalunianDepartment of Rheumatology, Allergy and Immunology, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Søren JacobsenDepartment of Rheumatology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Christine PeschkenInternal Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Diane L KamenDivision of Rheumatology & Immunology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.
Anca AskanaseHospital for Joint Diseases, New York University, Seligman Centre for Advanced Therapeutics, New York, New York, USA.
Jill P BuyonDivision of Rheumatology, New York University School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
David SontagDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Karen H CostenbaderDepartment of Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, Inflammation and Immunity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8972-9388
University of Calgary · CAFeinstein Institute for Medical Research · USMassachusetts Institute of Technology · USMcGill University Health Centre · CAUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Toronto · CAAllegheny Health Network · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USCedars-Sinai Medical Center · USCopenhagen University Hospital · DKDalhousie University · CAEmory University · USHanyang University Seoul Hospital · KRInstituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán · MXIstanbul University · TRJohns Hopkins University · USLund University · SEMedical University of South Carolina · USMount Sinai Hospital · CANew York University · US

Funding

Zonisamide in Patients with Neuropathic Pain Associated with Diabetic NeuropathyM01RR000046 · NCRR · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI MARGOLIS, DAVID · 1985 to 2008
$38.5M
MULTIDISCIPLINARY CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE (MCTS) PROGRAM (UL1)UL1RR025741 · NCRR · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI GREENLAND, PHILIP · 2008 to 2011
$24.7M
Study of Lupus Vascular and Bone Longterm EndpointsP60AR048098 · NIAMS · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI PASCHE, BORIS · 2002 to 2011
$11.4M
Multidisciplinary Clinical and Translational Science (MCTS) Program (UL1)UL1TR000150 · NCATS · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI LLOYD-JONES, DONALD M · 2012 to 2013
$10.1M
Lupus CohortR01AR043727 · NIAMS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI PETRI, MICHELLE A · 1997 to 2015
$8.2M
Sociodemographic Disparities in SLE Incidence: Behavioral and Psychosocial FactorsR01AR057327 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI COSTENBADER, KAREN H · 2009 to 2019
$6.2M
Progression of Cardiovascular Disease in Lupus.R01AR046588 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI MANZI, SUSAN · 2001 to 2010
$4.9M
Physical Activity Changes & Thersholds: Quality of Life and Outcomes in Knee OAP60AR064464 · NIAMS · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI SHARMA, LEENA · 2013 to 2017
$4.5M
Hopkins Lupus CohortR01AR069572 · NIAMS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI PETRI, MICHELLE A · 2016 to 2020
$3.4M
Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology in Patients with LupusK24AR066109 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI COSTENBADER, KAREN H · 2014 to 2023
$1.7M
VASCULAR DISEASE IN SYSTEMIC LUPUS ERYTHEMATOSUSK24AR002213 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI MANZI, SUSAN · 2001 to 2011
$1.3M
Physicochemical Signaling in OsteoarthritisK24AR002128 · NIAMS · RHODE ISLAND HOSPITAL (PROVIDENCE, RI) · PI AARON, ROY K · 1999 to 2011
$1.1M
Department of HealthNCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000150NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000046NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025741NIAMS NIH HHS K24 AR002128NIAMS NIH HHS K24 AR002213NIAMS NIH HHS K24 AR066109NIAMS NIH HHS P60 AR048098NIAMS NIH HHS P60 AR064464NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR043727NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR046588NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR057327NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR069572NIAMS NIH HHS R03 AR083661Versus ArthritisWellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesA novel longitudinal clustering technique was applied to comprehensive autoantibody data from a large, well-characterised, multinational inception systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) cohort to determine profiles predictive of clinical outcomes.

methodsDemographic, clinical and serological data from 805 patients with SLE obtained within 15 months of diagnosis and at 3-year and 5-year follow-up were included. For each visit, sera were assessed for 29 antinuclear antibodies (ANA) immunofluorescence patterns and 20 autoantibodies. K-means clustering on principal component analysis-transformed longitudinal autoantibody profiles identified discrete phenotypic clusters. One-way analysis of variance compared cluster enrolment demographics and clinical outcomes at 10-year follow-up. Cox proportional hazards model estimated the HR for survival adjusting for age of disease onset.

resultsCluster 1 (n=137, high frequency of anti-Smith, anti-U1RNP, AC-5 (large nuclear speckled pattern) and high ANA titres) had the highest cumulative disease activity and immunosuppressants/biologics use at year 10. Cluster 2 (n=376, low anti-double stranded DNA (dsDNA) and ANA titres) had the lowest disease activity, frequency of lupus nephritis and immunosuppressants/biologics use. Cluster 3 (n=80, highest frequency of all five antiphospholipid antibodies) had the highest frequency of seizures and hypocomplementaemia. Cluster 4 (n=212) also had high disease activity and was characterised by multiple autoantibody reactivity including to antihistone, anti-dsDNA, antiribosomal P, anti-Sjögren syndrome antigen A or Ro60, anti-Sjögren syndrome antigen B or La, anti-Ro52/Tripartite Motif Protein 21, antiproliferating cell nuclear antigen and anticentromere B). Clusters 1 (adjusted HR 2.60 (95% CI 1.12 to 6.05), p=0.03) and 3 (adjusted HR 2.87 (95% CI 1.22 to 6.74), p=0.02) had lower survival compared with cluster 2.

conclusionFour discrete SLE patient longitudinal autoantibody clusters were predictive of long-term disease activity, organ involvement, treatment requirements and mortality risk.

Indexed as

AutoantibodiesLupus Erythematosus, SystemicAntibodies, AntinuclearDNAHumansImmunosuppressive AgentsMachine LearningAntibodies, AntinuclearAutoantibodiesDNAImmunosuppressive Agentsautoantibodiesautoimmunitysystemic lupus erythematosus

Identifiers

PMID37085289
PMCPMC11293954
OpenAlexW4366609951

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.