Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37084271›Full record

ArticleBioinformatics (Oxford, England)2023

Predicting the pathogenicity of missense variants using features derived from AlphaFold2.

Axel Schmidt, Sebastian Röner, Karola Mai, Hannah Klinkhammer, Martin Kircher, Kerstin U Ludwig

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bioinformatics (Oxford, England), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed
19.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 64 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Pathogenicity Prediction of Missense Variations in Hereditary Cancer Genes.International journal of molecular sciences · 2026
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  18. AFFIPred: AlphaFold2 structure-based Functional Impact Prediction of missense variations.Protein science : a publication of the Protein Society · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Axel SchmidtInstitute of Human Genetics, Bonn School of Medicine, University Hospital of Bonn, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9780-7243
Sebastian RönerBerlin Institute of Health at Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Karola MaiInstitute of Human Genetics, Bonn School of Medicine, University Hospital of Bonn, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Hannah KlinkhammerInstitute for Genomic Statistics and Bioinformatics, University Hospital of Bonn, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Martin KircherBerlin Institute of Health at Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9278-5471
Kerstin U LudwigInstitute of Human Genetics, Bonn School of Medicine, University Hospital of Bonn, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
University of Bonn · DEBerlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

motivationMissense variants are a frequent class of variation within the coding genome, and some of them cause Mendelian diseases. Despite advances in computational prediction, classifying missense variants into pathogenic or benign remains a major challenge in the context of personalized medicine. Recently, the structure of the human proteome was derived with unprecedented accuracy using the artificial intelligence system AlphaFold2. This raises the question of whether AlphaFold2 wild-type structures can improve the accuracy of computational pathogenicity prediction for missense variants.

resultsTo address this, we first engineered a set of features for each amino acid from these structures. We then trained a random forest to distinguish between relatively common (proxy-benign) and singleton (proxy-pathogenic) missense variants from gnomAD v3.1. This yielded a novel AlphaFold2-based pathogenicity prediction score, termed AlphScore. Important feature classes used by AlphScore are solvent accessibility, amino acid network related features, features describing the physicochemical environment, and AlphaFold2's quality parameter (predicted local distance difference test). AlphScore alone showed lower performance than existing in silico scores used for missense prediction, such as CADD or REVEL. However, when AlphScore was added to those scores, the performance increased, as measured by the approximation of deep mutational scan data, as well as the prediction of expert-curated missense variants from the ClinVar database. Overall, our data indicate that the integration of AlphaFold2-predicted structures can improve pathogenicity prediction of missense variants. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: AlphScore, combinations of AlphScore with existing scores, as well as variants used for training and testing are publicly available.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceComputational BiologyHumansMutationMutation, MissenseVirulence

Identifiers

PMID37084271
PMCPMC10203375
OpenAlexW4366605966

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.