ArticlePLOS global public health2023
Persistence of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia: The impact of fluctuating social distancing.
Article in PLOS global public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- Safety and Tolerability of Multimodal Therapy (Ivermectin, Doxycycline, Vitamin C, Vitamin D, and Zinc) With or Without Famotidine in Australian Patients With COVID-19 Infection: A Pilot Cohort Trial.American journal of therapeuticsTrial
- Children and adolescents: Respiratory infection and long-term effects longitudinal study (CARE Study): Study protocol.PloS one · 2026Article
- Impact of opinion dynamics on recurrent pandemic waves: balancing risk aversion and peer pressure.Interface focus · 2025Article
- Multi-scale phylodynamic modelling of rapid punctuated pathogen evolution.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Long Covid Symptom Clusters, Correlates and Predictors in a Highly Vaccinated Australian Population in 2023.Health expectations : an international journal of public participation in health care and health policy · 2025Article
- Emergence of shield immunity during spatial contagions.Npj complexity · 2025Article
- Bounded risk disposition explains Turing patterns and tipping points during spatial contagions.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Defining the correlates of lymphopenia and independent predictors of poor clinical outcome in adults hospitalized with COVID-19 in Australia.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Real-world efficacy, roll-out and uptake of intramuscular tixagevimab/cilgavimab as COVID-19 pre-exposure prophylaxis in people with multiple sclerosis and neuroimmunological conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic.BMJ neurology open · 2024Article
- Measuring unequal distribution of pandemic severity across census years, variants of concern and interventions.Population health metrics · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We modelled emergence and spread of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia between December 2021 and June 2022. This pandemic stage exhibited a diverse epidemiological profile with emergence of co-circulating sub-lineages of Omicron, further complicated by differences in social distancing behaviour which varied over time. Our study delineated distinct phases of the Omicron-associated pandemic stage, and retrospectively quantified the adoption of social distancing measures, fluctuating over different time periods in response to the observable incidence dynamics. We also modelled the corresponding disease burden, in terms of hospitalisations, intensive care unit occupancy, and mortality. Supported by good agreement between simulated and actual health data, our study revealed that the nonlinear dynamics observed in the daily incidence and disease burden were determined not only by introduction of sub-lineages of Omicron, but also by the fluctuating adoption of social distancing measures. Our high-resolution model can be used in design and evaluation of public health interventions during future crises.
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Registered trials
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