ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2023
The rising burden of non-communicable diseases in the Americas and the impact of population aging: a secondary analysis of available data.
Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 70 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
70 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Indirect Costs of Non-Communicable Diseases within the Top Ten Causes of Mortality Worldwide: A Systematic Literature Review.Iranian journal of medical sciences · 2026Pooled it
- Randomized controlled trials on physical activity, diet, or both for public health through body weight management in 5- to 10-year-old pupils: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European journal of public health · 2025Pooled it
- A computational grounded theory based analysis of research on China's old-age social welfare system.Frontiers in public health · 2025Pooled it
- Benefit finding in adults living with somatic non-communicable chronic disease: a systematic review on the mean level and the prevalence.Frontiers in psychiatry · 2025Pooled it
- Myokines and mitochondrial function in cardiometabolic diseases.Journal of physiology and biochemistry · 2026Review
- [Development, structure, and function of the GeriatrIMSS Institutional Model].Revista medica del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social · 2026Article
- Health Literacy and Chronic Disease Self-Efficacy Among Older Adults with Multimorbidity: Evidence from Low-Resource Context.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Diverging trends in motor neuron disease burden in China: an ageing-driven increase despite declining age-standardised rates - a GBD 2021 analysis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026Article
- Global, regional, and national burden of migraine in postmenopausal women: a 32-year analysis from the global burden of disease study 1990-2021.Journal of oral & facial pain and headache · 2026Article
- A Nutrient Ratio-Based, Web-Enabled Food Quality Score Is Associated With Weight and Blood Pressure Compared With Leading Nutrient Profiling Systems.Current developments in nutrition · 2026Article
- Nonpharmacological multicomponent intervention for mild cognitive impairment with a family-patient approach: protocol for the pilot clinical trial-INTERCOG study.Pilot and feasibility studies · 2026Article
- Conceptualising the Patient Ecosystem: A Holistic Framework for Home Care.Scandinavian journal of caring sciences · 2026Article
- Structural Disadvantage in Adolescence and Biological Aging in Early Midlife.JAMA network open · 2026Observational
- Two Months of Active Video Game Training Improves Selected Lipid Profile Markers in Older Adults: A Preliminary Study.Geriatrics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Optimizing health care delivery by adapting diagnostics in a low-resource setting: The case of San Miguel Hospital, Sucumbíos, Ecuador.New microbes and new infections · 2026Article
- Knowledge, attitude and practice of healthy lifestyle among primary care registered population in Qatar: A cross sectional study.Journal of public health research · 2026Article
- The prevalence of non-communicable diseases and related risk factors in young adults in the Caribbean islands: a scoping review.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Association between nighttime sleep duration and falls among community-dwelling older adults aged 65 and over: findings from a nationwide population-based study.BMC geriatrics · 2026Article
- Moving Barbados forward: a case for investment in exercise for geriatric health.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- [An overview of home care for patients with chronic diseases in Latin America: A scoping reviewPanorama da atenção domiciliar para pacientes com doenças crônicas na América Latina: revisão de escopo].Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2026Article
10 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: Public health progress in the Americas has reduced the burden of many infectious diseases, helping more people live longer lives. At the same time, the burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) is increasing. NCD prevention rightly focuses on lifestyle risk factors, social, and economic determinants of health. There is less published information on the importance of population growth and aging to the regional NCD burden. Methods: For 33 countries in the Americas, we used United Nations population data to describe rates of population growth and aging over two generations (1980-2060). We used World Health Organization estimates of mortality and disability (disability-adjusted life years, DALYs) to describe changes in the NCD burden between 2000 and 2019. After combining these data resources, we decomposed the change in the number of deaths and DALYs to estimate the percentage change due to population growth, due to population aging, and due to epidemiological advances, measured by changing mortality and DALY rates. In a supplement, we provide a summary briefing for each country. Findings: In 1980, the proportion of the regional population aged 70 and older was 4.6%. It rose to 7.8% by 2020 and is predicted to rise to 17.4% by 2060. Across the Americas, DALY rate reductions would have decreased the number of DALYs by 18% between 2000 and 2019 but was offset by a 28% increase due to population aging and a 22% increase due to population growth. Although the region enjoyed widespread reductions in rates of disability, these improvements have not been sufficiently large to offset the pressures of population growth and population aging. Interpretation: The region of the Americas is aging and the pace of this aging is predicted to increase. The demographic realities of population growth and population aging should be factored into healthcare planning, to understand their implications for the future NCD burden, the health system needs, and the readiness of governments and communities to respond to those needs. Funding: This work was funded in part by the Pan American Health Organization, Department of Noncommunicable Diseases and Mental Health.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.