ArticleJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society)2022
Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: Conceptual and statistical challenges.
Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- A model for mosquito-borne epidemic outbreaks with information-dependent protective behaviour.Journal of mathematical biology · 2026Article
- Robust uncertainty quantification in popular estimators of the instantaneous reproduction number.American journal of epidemiology · 2025Article
- Petri nets in epidemiology.Journal of mathematical biology · 2025Article
- Time-varying reproduction number estimation: fusing compartmental models with generalized additive models.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025Article
- Accuracy of Inferences About the Reproductive Number and Superspreading Potential of SARS-CoV-2 with Incomplete Contact Tracing Data.Research square · 2023Article
- Genomic monitoring of SARS-CoV-2 variants using sentinel SARI hospital surveillance.Influenza and other respiratory viruses · 2023Article
- How to avoid a local epidemic becoming a global pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Instantaneous reproduction number and epidemic growth rate for predicting COVID-19 waves: the first 2 years of the pandemic in Spain.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: Conceptual and statistical challenges.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2022Article
- EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- Human behaviour, NPI and mobility reduction effects on COVID-19 transmission in different countries of the world.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
14 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The reproduction number
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.