Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37048811›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2023

Predicting Cardiac Arrest in Children with Heart Disease: A Novel Machine Learning Algorithm.

Priscilla Yu, Michael Skinner, Ivie Esangbedo, Javier J Lasa, Xilong Li, Sriraam Natarajan, Lakshmi Raman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. [Early classification and recognition algorithm for sudden cardiac arrest based on limited electrocardiogram data trained with a two-stages convolutional neural network].Sheng wu yi xue gong cheng xue za zhi = Journal of biomedical engineering = Shengwu yixue gongchengxue zazhi · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Priscilla YuDivision of Critical Care, Department of Pediatrics, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX 75235, USA.
Michael SkinnerDepartment of Computer Science, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX 75080, USA.
Ivie EsangbedoSection of Cardiac Critical Care, Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
Javier J LasaDivision of Critical Care, Department of Pediatrics, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX 75235, USA.
Xilong LiPeter O'Donnell Jr. School of Public Health, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX 75235, USA.
Sriraam NatarajanDepartment of Computer Science, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, TX 75080, USA.
Lakshmi RamanDivision of Critical Care, Department of Pediatrics, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX 75235, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7676-1346

Funding

Machine learning approaches towards risk assessment and prediction of adverse pregnancy outcomesR01HD101246 · NICHD · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI HAAS, DAVID M., NATARAJAN, SRIRAAM · 2020 to 2022
$1.4M
Children's Health noneNICHD NIH HHS R01 HD101246Zoll Foundation none
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChildren with congenital and acquired heart disease are at a higher risk of cardiac arrest compared to those without heart disease. Although the monitoring of cardiopulmonary resuscitation quality and extracorporeal resuscitation technologies have advanced, survival after cardiac arrest in this population has not improved. Cardiac arrest prevention, using predictive algorithms with machine learning, has the potential to reduce cardiac arrest rates. However, few studies have evaluated the use of these algorithms in predicting cardiac arrest in children with heart disease.

methodsWe collected demographic, laboratory, and vital sign information from the electronic health records (EHR) of all the patients that were admitted to a single-center pediatric cardiac intensive care unit (CICU), between 2010 and 2019, who had a cardiac arrest during their CICU admission, as well as a comparator group of randomly selected non-cardiac-arrest controls. We compared traditional logistic regression modeling against a novel adaptation of a machine learning algorithm (functional gradient boosting), using time series data to predict the risk of cardiac arrest.

resultsA total of 160 unique cardiac arrest events were matched to non-cardiac-arrest time periods. Using 11 different variables (vital signs and laboratory values) from the EHR, our algorithm's peak performance for the prediction of cardiac arrest was at one hour prior to the cardiac arrest (AUROC of 0.85 [0.79,0.90]), a performance that was similar to our previously published multivariable logistic regression model.

conclusionsOur novel machine learning predictive algorithm, which was developed using retrospective data that were collected from the EHR and predicted cardiac arrest in the children that were admitted to a single-center pediatric cardiac intensive care unit, demonstrated a performance that was similar to that of a traditional logistic regression model. While these results are encouraging, future research, including prospective validations with multicenter data, is warranted prior to the implementation of this algorithm as a real-time clinical decision support tool.

Indexed as

cardiac arrestheart diseasemachine learningpediatricsprediction

Identifiers

PMID37048811
PMCPMC10095110

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.