Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37045812›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Future strengthening of the Nordic Seas overturning circulation.

Marius Årthun, Helene Asbjørnsen, Léon Chafik, Helen L Johnson, Kjetil Våge

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
6.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Marius ÅrthunGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway. marius.arthun@uib.no.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4500-1691
Helene AsbjørnsenGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2959-3482
Léon ChafikDepartment of Meteorology and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5538-545X
Helen L JohnsonDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1873-2085
Kjetil VågeGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway.
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research · NOStockholm University · SEUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/T00858X/1RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/T013494/1Swedish National Space Board (Svenska Rymdstyrelsen) 133/17Swedish National Space Board (Svenska Rymdstyrelsen) 2022-00172
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The overturning circulation in the Nordic Seas involves the transformation of warm Atlantic waters into cold, dense overflows. These overflow waters return to the North Atlantic and form the headwaters to the deep limb of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). The Nordic Seas are thus a key component of the AMOC. However, little is known about the response of the overturning circulation in the Nordic Seas to future climate change. Here we show using global climate models that, in contrast to the North Atlantic, the simulated density-space overturning circulation in the Nordic Seas increases throughout most of the 21st century as a result of enhanced horizontal circulation and a strengthened zonal density gradient. The increased Nordic Seas overturning is furthermore manifested in the overturning circulation in the eastern subpolar North Atlantic. A strengthened Nordic Seas overturning circulation could therefore be a stabilizing factor in the future AMOC.

Identifiers

PMID37045812
PMCPMC10097703
OpenAlexW4365145137

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.