Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37045572›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2023

Change in global burden of unintentional drowning from 1990 to 2019 and its association with social determinants of health: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Haomin Tan, Ziqiang Lin, Di Fu, Xiaomei Dong, Sui Zhu, Zhongguo Huang, Yingyin Liu, Guanhao He, Pan Yang, Tao Liu and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Spatio-temporal clustering of drowning mortality in Iran, from 2005 to 2022.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2026
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  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Burden of unintentional drowning in Indonesia: insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2025
    Article
  7. Preventing Child Drowning in Indonesia: A Community-Informed Health Promotion Perspective.Health education & behavior : the official publication of the Society for Public Health Education · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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  12. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Haomin TanDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Ziqiang LinDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Di FuDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Xiaomei DongDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3832-038X
Sui ZhuDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Zhongguo HuangDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Yingyin LiuDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Guanhao HeDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Pan YangDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Tao LiuDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China mawj@gdiph.org.cn gztt_2002@163.com.
Wenjun MaDepartment of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China mawj@gdiph.org.cn gztt_2002@163.com.ORCID 0000-0002-9266-4802
Jinan University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo systematically analyse global, regional and national burden change of unintentional drowning from 1990 to 2019, and to further quantify the contribution of social determinants of health (SDH) on the change.

designData from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 were used in this study. SETTING AND

participantsIndividuals of all ages and genders from 204 countries and territories.

main outcome measuresThe main outcomes were the age-standardised rates (ASRs) of mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of unintentional drowning. The percentage change in the ASRs were used to estimate the joint effect of SDH on trends in global burden of drowning.

resultsWe observed that the global burden of unintentional drowning declined markedly from 1990 to 2019, with age-standardised mortality rate and DALYs rate decreasing by 61.5% and 68.2%, respectively. Women, children, middle Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) countries, South-East Asia and Western Pacific region had higher reduction. At national level, greater reductions were observed in Armenia and Republic of Korea, but significant increases in Cabo Verde and Vanuatu. We found that every one percentile increase in six SDHs (Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per person, SDI, educational attainment, health spending, health workers and urbanisation) was associated with a decrease of 0.15% and 0.16% in drowning age-standardised mortality rate and DALYs rate globally, respectively. Health spending and GDP per capita were the main contributors to the reduction of drowning globally.

conclusionsThe global burden of unintentional drowning significantly declined in the past three decades, and the improvement of SDHs such as GDP per capita and health spending mainly contributed to the decrease. Our findings indicate that improvement of SDHs is critical for drowning prevention and control.

Indexed as

DrowningGlobal Burden of DiseaseChildFemaleGlobal HealthHumansMaleQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSocial Determinants of HealthSocioeconomic FactorsEpidemiologyPublic healthSOCIAL MEDICINE

Identifiers

PMID37045572
PMCPMC10106071
OpenAlexW4365141221

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.