Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37042155›Full record

ArticleCPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology2023

Synthetic Model Combination: A new machine-learning method for pharmacometric model ensembling.

Alexander Chan, Richard Peck, Megan Gibbs, Mihaela van der Schaar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Alexander ChanDepartment of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Richard PeckPharma Research and Development (pRED), Roche Innovation Center, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1018-9655
Megan GibbsClinical Pharmacology and Quantitative Pharmacology, Clinical Pharmacology and Safety Sciences, R&D, AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, Maryland, USA.
Mihaela van der SchaarDepartment of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3933-6049

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

When aiming to make predictions over targets in the pharmacological setting, a data-focused approach aims to learn models based on a collection of labeled examples. Unfortunately, data sharing is not always possible, and this can result in many different models trained on disparate populations, leading to the natural question of how best to use and combine them when making a new prediction. Previous work has focused on global model selection or ensembling, with the result of a single final model across the feature space. Machine-learning models perform notoriously poorly on data outside their training domain, however, due to a problem known as covariate shift, and so we argue that when ensembling models the weightings for individual instances must reflect their respective domains-in other words, models that are more likely to have seen information on that instance should have more attention paid to them. We introduce a method for such an instance-wise ensembling of models called Synthetic Model Combination (SMC), including a novel representation learning step for handling sparse high-dimensional domains. We demonstrate the use of SMC on an example with dosing predictions for vancomycin, although emphasize the applicability of the method to any scenario involving the use of multiple models.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsMachine LearningHumansLearning

Identifiers

PMID37042155
PMCPMC10349196

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.