ArticleNature communications2023
Trade-off between critical metal requirement and transportation decarbonization in automotive electrification.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
- Spatial mismatches constrain high-value utilization of retired batteries for decarbonization in China.Environmental science and ecotechnology · 2026Article
- Temporal rich-club phenomenon and its formation mechanisms in international trade: Evidence from new energy minerals.iScience · 2026Article
- Evidence of a cascading positive tipping point towards electric vehicles.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Global hidden material flows triggered by China's vehicle supply chain far exceed eventual material use.Nature communications · 2025Article
- A high-resolution dataset on electric passenger vehicle characteristics in China and the European Union.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Lithium-ion battery recycling relieves the threat to material scarcity amid China's electric vehicle ambitions.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Lifecycle carbon intensity with embodied emissions of battery and hydrogen-driven integrative low-carbon systems.Communications engineering · 2025Article
- Sustainable and cost-effective electrode manufacturing for advanced lithium batteries: the roll-to-roll dry coating process.Chemical science · 2025Review
- Activating Carbon and Oxygen Bonds for Low-Temperature Thermal Decomposition of Spent Lithium-Ion Battery Cathode Materials.Environmental science & technology · 2025Article
- Impact of electric vehicle battery recycling on reducing raw material demand and battery life-cycle carbon emissions in China.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Ex-ante life cycle evaluation of spent lithium-ion battery recovery: Modeling of complex environmental and economic impacts.Environmental science and ecotechnology · 2025Article
- In-use dissipation of technology-critical elements from vehicles and renewable energy technologies in Vienna, Austria: A public health matter?Journal of industrial ecology · 2024Article
- Photovoltaic-driven dual-oxidation seawater electrolyzer for sustainable lithium recovery.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Economic viability requires higher recycling rates for imported plastic waste than expected.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Will reshoring manufacturing of advanced electric vehicle battery support renewable energy transition and climate targets?Science advances · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Automotive electrification holds the promise of mitigating transportation-related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, yet at the expense of growing demand for critical metals. Here, we analyze the trade-off between the decarbonization potential of the road transportation sector and its critical metal requirement from the demand-side perspective in 48 major countries committing to decarbonize their road transportation sectors aided by electric vehicles (EVs). Our results demonstrate that deploying EVs with 40-100% penetration by 2050 can increase lithium, nickel, cobalt, and manganese demands by 2909-7513%, 2127-5426%, 1039-2684%, and 1099-2838%, respectively, and grow platinum group metal requirement by 131-179% in the 48 investigated countries, relative to 2020. Higher EV penetration reduces GHG emissions from fuel use regardless of the transportation energy transition, while those from fuel production are more sensitive to energy-sector decarbonization and could reach nearly "net zero" by 2040.
Identifiers
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.