Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37039954›Full record

ArticleApplied health economics and health policy2023

A Model-Based Estimate of the Cost-Effectiveness Threshold in Germany.

Afschin Gandjour

Abstract read
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Article in Applied health economics and health policy, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. The Efficiency of the German Healthcare System: Some Puzzling Findings.The International journal of health planning and management · 2026
    Article
  6. Willingness to pay for a quality adjusted life year across different time horizons: direct elicitation in Quebec.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
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  12. Cost-utility analysis ofEuropean journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Afschin GandjourFrankfurt School of Finance and Management, Adickesallee 32-34, 60322, Frankfurt am Main, Germany. a.gandjour@fs.de.ORCID 0000-0002-4262-8344

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeValue-based pricing of new, innovative health technologies defined as pricing through economic evaluation requires the use of a basic cost-effectiveness threshold. This study presents a cost-effectiveness model that determines the cost-effectiveness threshold for life-extending new, innovative technologies based on health system opportunity costs.

methodsTo estimate health system opportunity costs, the study used German data and examined the period between 1896 and 2014. To this end, it determined intertemporal differences in the remaining lifetime spending and life expectancy by age and gender. To account for the age composition of the population, it weighted age-specific intertemporal changes in the remaining lifetime spending and life expectancy by the age-specific population size. To estimate life expectancy gains solely attributable to the health care system, it used aggregated data on amenable mortality. It calculated the cost-effectiveness ratio of health care spending in the German health care system on average and at the margin.

resultsBased on the cost-effectiveness ratio of health care spending at the margin, the threshold value for life-prolonging new, innovative technologies was at least €42,634 per life-year gained, with a point estimate of €88,107 per life-year gained. Based on the average ratio, the threshold value dropped below €34,000 per life-year gained.

conclusionThis study provides new evidence on the cost-effectiveness threshold for value-based pricing of new, innovative technologies. Data from Germany suggest that a threshold value based on health care spending at the margin is considerably higher than that based on the average ratio.

Indexed as

Delivery of Health CareLife ExpectancyCost-Benefit AnalysisGermanyHumansQuality-Adjusted Life Years

Identifiers

PMID37039954
PMCPMC10088581

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.