Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37038602›Full record

ArticleJournal of survey statistics and methodology2023

Inference from Nonrandom Samples Using Bayesian Machine Learning.

Yutao Liu, Andrew Gelman, Qixuan Chen

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of survey statistics and methodology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Improving Survey Inference in Two-phase Designs Using Bayesian Machine Learning.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Yutao Liuis a Senior Biostatistician II at Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Boston, USA and was a PhD student in the Department of Biostatistics at Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2600-5454
Andrew Gelmanis a Professor of Statistics and Political Science of Biostatistics at Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Qixuan Chenis an Associate Professor of Biostatistics at Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Columbia University · USVertex Pharmaceuticals (United States) · US

Funding

Software development for Stan to improve survey statistics for non-probability samplesR01AG067149 · NIA · COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE · PI GELMAN, ANDREW · 2020 to 2022
$967k
Bayesian exposure-response analysis for immunoassays data with measurement errorsR21ES029668 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI CHEN, QIXUAN · 2019 to 2020
$417k
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG067149NIEHS NIH HHS R21 ES029668
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We consider inference from nonrandom samples in data-rich settings where high-dimensional auxiliary information is available both in the sample and the target population, with survey inference being a special case. We propose a regularized prediction approach that predicts the outcomes in the population using a large number of auxiliary variables such that the ignorability assumption is reasonable and the Bayesian framework is straightforward for quantification of uncertainty. Besides the auxiliary variables, we also extend the approach by estimating the propensity score for a unit to be included in the sample and also including it as a predictor in the machine learning models. We find in simulation studies that the regularized predictions using soft Bayesian additive regression trees yield valid inference for the population means and coverage rates close to the nominal levels. We demonstrate the application of the proposed methods using two different real data applications, one in a survey and one in an epidemiologic study.

Indexed as

Bayesian machine learningHigh-dimensional auxiliary variablesNonrandom samplesProbability and nonprobability surveysPropensity scoreSoft Bayesian additive regression trees

Identifiers

PMID37038602
PMCPMC10080218
OpenAlexW3154161236

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.