Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37038125›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2023

The burden of RSV-associated illness in children aged < 5 years, South Africa, 2011 to 2016.

Jocelyn Moyes, Stefano Tempia, Sibongile Walaza, Meredith L McMorrow, Florette Treurnicht, Nicole Wolter, Anne von Gottberg, Kathleen Kahn, Adam L Cohen, Halima Dawood and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Observational
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Jocelyn MoyesCenter for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Private Bag X4, Sandringham, 2131, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa. jossmoyes@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0001-8040-1717
Stefano TempiaCenter for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Private Bag X4, Sandringham, 2131, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Sibongile WalazaCenter for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Private Bag X4, Sandringham, 2131, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Meredith L McMorrowDivision of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Florette TreurnichtDivision of Virology, Faculty of Health Sciences, National Health Laboratory Service, Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Nicole WolterCenter for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Private Bag X4, Sandringham, 2131, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Anne von GottbergCenter for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Private Bag X4, Sandringham, 2131, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Kathleen KahnMRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Epidemiology and Global Health Unit, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Adam L CohenInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Halima DawoodDepartment of Medicine, Pietermaritzburg Metropolitan Hospital, Pietermaritzburg, South Africa.
Ebrahim VariavaDepartment of Medicine, Klerksdorp-Tshepong Hospital Complex, Klerksdorp, South Africa.
Cheryl CohenCenter for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Private Bag X4, Sandringham, 2131, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa. cherylc@nicd.ac.za.
National Health Laboratory Service · ZACenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USUniversity of the Witwatersrand · ZAEdendale Hospital · ZA

Funding

NCIRD CDC HHS U01 IP001160
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVaccines and monoclonal antibodies to protect the very young infant against the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-associated illness are effective for limited time periods. We aimed to estimate age-specific burden to guide implementation strategies and cost-effectiveness analyses.

methodsWe combined case-based surveillance and ecological data to generate a national estimate of the burden of RSV-associated acute respiratory illness (ARI) and severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) in South African children aged < 5 years (2011-2016), including adjustment for attributable fraction. We estimated the RSV burden by month of life in the < 1-year age group, by 3-month intervals until 2 years, and then 12 monthly intervals to < 5 years for medically and non-medically attended illness.

resultsWe estimated a mean annual total (medically and non-medically attended) of 264,112 (95% confidence interval (CI) 134,357-437,187) cases of RSV-associated ARI and 96,220 (95% CI 66,470-132,844) cases of RSV-associated SARI (4.7% and 1.7% of the population aged < 5 years, respectively). RSV-associated ARI incidence was highest in 2-month-old infants (18,361/100,000 population, 95% CI 9336-28,466). The highest incidence of RSV-associated SARI was in the < 1-month age group 14,674/100,000 (95% CI 11,175-19,645). RSV-associated deaths were highest in the first and second month of life (110.8 (95% CI 74.8-144.5) and 111.3 (86.0-135.8), respectively).

conclusionsDue to the high burden of RSV-associated illness, specifically SARI cases in young infants, maternal vaccination and monoclonal antibody products delivered at birth could prevent significant RSV-associated disease burden.

Indexed as

Communicable DiseasesRespiratory Syncytial Virus InfectionsChildHospitalizationHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornRespiratory Syncytial VirusesSouth AfricaBurdenChildrenRespiratory illnessRespiratory syncytial virus

Identifiers

PMID37038125
PMCPMC10088270
OpenAlexW4363625457

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.