Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37038003›Full record

ArticleNature genetics2023

Maximum likelihood pandemic-scale phylogenetics.

Nicola De Maio, Prabhav Kalaghatgi, Yatish Turakhia, Russell Corbett-Detig, Bui Quang Minh, Nick Goldman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature genetics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  15. Biological causes and impacts of rugged tree landscapes in phylodynamic inference.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  16. Review
  17. A Pandemic-Scale Ancestral Recombination Graph for SARS-CoV-2.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Tracing SARS-CoV-2 clusters across local scales using genomic data.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Nicola De MaioEuropean Molecular Biology Laboratory, European Bioinformatics Institute (EMBL-EBI), Hinxton, UK. demaio@ebi.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1776-8564
Prabhav KalaghatgiMax Planck Institute for Molecular Genetics, Berlin, Germany.
Yatish TurakhiaDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA.
Russell Corbett-DetigDepartment of Biomolecular Engineering, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
Bui Quang MinhSchool of Computing, College of Engineering, Computing and Cybernetics, Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
Nick GoldmanEuropean Molecular Biology Laboratory, European Bioinformatics Institute (EMBL-EBI), Hinxton, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8486-2211

Funding

Origins, Functional, and Evolutionary Consequences of Genomic VariationR35GM128932 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SANTA CRUZ · PI Russell Corbett-Detig · 2018 to 2026
$3.2M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM128932
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Phylogenetics has a crucial role in genomic epidemiology. Enabled by unparalleled volumes of genome sequence data generated to study and help contain the COVID-19 pandemic, phylogenetic analyses of SARS-CoV-2 genomes have shed light on the virus's origins, spread, and the emergence and reproductive success of new variants. However, most phylogenetic approaches, including maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods, cannot scale to the size of the datasets from the current pandemic. We present 'MAximum Parsimonious Likelihood Estimation' (MAPLE), an approach for likelihood-based phylogenetic analysis of epidemiological genomic datasets at unprecedented scales. MAPLE infers SARS-CoV-2 phylogenies more accurately than existing maximum likelihood approaches while running up to thousands of times faster, and requiring at least 100 times less memory on large datasets. This extends the reach of genomic epidemiology, allowing the continued use of accurate phylogenetic, phylogeographic and phylodynamic analyses on datasets of millions of genomes.

Indexed as

COVID-19Bayes TheoremHumansLikelihood FunctionsPandemicsPhylogenySARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID37038003
PMCPMC10181937

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.