Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37031450›Full record

SynthesisJournal of endocrinological investigation2023

A systematic review on the performance of fracture risk assessment tools: FRAX, DeFRA, FRA-HS.

G Adami, A Biffi, G Porcu, R Ronco, R Alvaro, R Bogini, A P Caputi, L Cianferotti, B Frediani, D Gatti and 14 more

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of endocrinological investigation, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Predictive value of BMD for hip and other fractures: a meta-analysis to update FRAX.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
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  11. ROMosozumab early experience in female patients with severe osteoporosis in an Italian real-world setting, the ROMEO study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2025
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  17. Osteoporosis in Men: an Overlooked Patient Population.Current osteoporosis reports · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

G AdamiRheumatology Unit, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.
A BiffiDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, National Centre for Healthcare Research and Pharmacoepidemiology, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
G PorcuDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, National Centre for Healthcare Research and Pharmacoepidemiology, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
R RoncoDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, National Centre for Healthcare Research and Pharmacoepidemiology, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
R AlvaroDepartment of Biomedicine and Prevention, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy.
R BoginiLocal Health Unit (USL) Umbria, Perugia, Italy.
A P CaputiDepartment of Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Messina, Messina, Italy.
L CianferottiItalian Bone Disease Research Foundation (FIRMO), Florence, Italy.
B FredianiDepartment of Medicine, Surgery and Neurosciences, Rheumatology Unit, University of Siena, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Senese, Siena, Italy.
D GattiRheumatology Unit, University of Verona, Verona, Italy. davide.gatti@univr.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7471-3076
S GonnelliDepartment of Medicine, Surgery and Neuroscience, Policlinico Le Scotte, University of Siena, Siena, Italy.
G IolasconDepartment of Medical and Surgical Specialties and Dentistry, University of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli", Naples, Italy.
A LenziDepartment of Experimental Medicine, Sapienza University of Rome, Viale del Policlinico, Rome, Italy.
S LeoneAMICI Onlus, Associazione Nazionale per le Malattie Infiammatorie Croniche dell'Intestino, Milan, Italy.
S MigliaccioDepartment of Movement, Human and Health Sciences, Foro Italico University, Rome, Italy.
T NicolettiCoordinamento Nazionale delle Associazioni dei Malati Cronici e rari di Cittadinanzattiva, CnAMC, Rome, Italy.
M PaolettaDepartment of Medical and Surgical Specialties and Dentistry, University of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli", Naples, Italy.
A PenniniDepartment of Biomedicine and Prevention, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy.
E PiccirilliDepartment of Clinical Sciences and Translational Medicine, University of Rome "Tor Vergata", Rome, Italy.
U TarantinoDepartment of Clinical Sciences and Translational Medicine, University of Rome "Tor Vergata", Rome, Italy.
M L BrandiItalian Bone Disease Research Foundation (FIRMO), Florence, Italy.
G CorraoDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, National Centre for Healthcare Research and Pharmacoepidemiology, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
M RossiniRheumatology Unit, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.
R MichieliItalian Society of General Medicine and Primary Care (SIMG), Florence, Italy.

Funding

ALTIS The Italian guideline was funded by ALTIS Omnia Pharma ServiceALTIS which did not affect the content of the document.
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposePreventing fragility fractures by treating osteoporosis may reduce disability and mortality worldwide. Algorithms combining clinical risk factors with bone mineral density have been developed to better estimate fracture risk and possible treatment thresholds. This systematic review supported panel members of the Italian Fragility Fracture Guidelines in recommending the use of best-performant tool. The clinical performance of the three most used fracture risk assessment tools (DeFRA, FRAX, and FRA-HS) was assessed in at-risk patients.

methodsPubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched till December 2020 for studies investigating risk assessment tools for predicting major osteoporotic or hip fractures in patients with osteoporosis or fragility fractures. Sensitivity (Sn), specificity (Sp), and areas under the curve (AUCs) were evaluated for all tools at different thresholds. Quality assessment was performed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2; certainty of evidence (CoE) was evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach.

resultsForty-three articles were considered (40, 1, and 2 for FRAX, FRA-HS, and DeFRA, respectively), with the CoE ranging from very low to high quality. A reduction of Sn and increase of Sp for major osteoporotic fractures were observed among women and the entire population with cut-off augmentation. No significant differences were found on comparing FRAX to DeFRA in women (AUC 59-88% vs. 74%) and diabetics (AUC 73% vs. 89%). FRAX demonstrated non-significantly better discriminatory power than FRA-HS among men.

conclusionThe task force formulated appropriate recommendations on the use of any fracture risk assessment tools in patients with or at risk of fragility fractures, since no statistically significant differences emerged across different prediction tools.

Indexed as

OsteoporosisOsteoporotic FracturesBone DensityFemaleHumansMaleRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsFracture risk assessmentFragility fractureSecondary preventionSystematic review

Identifiers

PMID37031450
PMCPMC10558377

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.