ArticleBMC infectious diseases2023
Effects of temperature, rainfall, and El Niño Southern Oscillations on dengue-like-illness incidence in Solomon Islands.
Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Climate Informed Dengue Prediction and Future Risk Under a Changing Monsoon Climate in Kerala, India.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- The role of tropical cyclones in accelerating dengue transmission: insights from field experiments and dynamical modelling.BMJ global health · 2026Article
- Lagged effect of temperature and rainfall on malaria incidence in Colombia (2013-2023): An approach with Bayesian spatiotemporal adjustment.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Effect of sea surface temperature in El Niño regions on dengue dynamics in Colombia: Evidence from causal machine learning.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Spatial Risk Factors of Vector-Borne Diseases in Pacific Island Countries and Territories: A Scoping Review.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Review
- Dengue incidence and its relationship with El Niño oceanic index, as a sensitive variable to anticipate outbreaks in the Colombian Caribbean regionBiomedica : revista del Instituto Nacional de Salud · 2025Article
- Investigating linkages between human movement and meteorological variables on dengue outbreaks in the Pacific Islands.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- The Impact of Extreme Weather on Dengue Fever in Guangzhou, China: A Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Spatial Lag Analysis.GeoHealth · 2025Article
- Rising dengue risk with increasing El Niño-Southern Oscillation amplitude and teleconnections.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Environmental Determinants of Dengue Fever: A Re-Emerging Threat in the Middle East.Health science reports · 2025Article
- Epidemiological Trends and Age-Period-Cohort Effects on Dengue Incidence Across High-Risk Regions from 1992 to 2021.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Article
- Effects of El Niño and the Positive Indian Ocean Dipole (+IOD) on Health, Food Security, Economics, and Conflict in Low- and Middle-Income Countries in the Indo-Pacific: A Systematic Review.Campbell systematic reviews · 2025Review
- Analysing dengue fever spread in Kenya using the Zero-Inflated Poisson model.Journal of public health in Africa · 2025Article
- Autoimmune Diseases Following Environmental Disasters: A Narrative Review of the Literature.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Review
- Spatio-temporal patterns of dengue in Bangladesh during 2019 to 2023: Implications for targeted control strategies.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- Effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and seasonal weather conditions on Aedes aegypti infestation in the State of São Paulo (Brazil): A Bayesian spatio-temporal study.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
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3 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundThis study investigated associations between climate variables (average temperature and cumulative rainfall), and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and dengue-like-illness (DLI) incidence in two provinces (Western and Guadalcanal Provinces) in Solomon Islands (SI).
methodsWeekly DLI and meteorological data were obtained from the Ministry of Health and Medical Services SI and the Ministry of Environment, Climate Change, Disaster Management and Meteorology from 2015 to 2018, respectively. We used negative binomial generalized estimating equations to assess the effects of climate variables up to a lag of 2 months and ENSO on DLI incidence in SI.
resultsWe captured an upsurge in DLI trend between August 2016 and April 2017. We found the effects of average temperature on DLI in Guadalcanal Province at lag of one month (IRR: 2.186, 95% CI: 1.094-4.368). Rainfall had minor but consistent effect in all provinces. La Niña associated with increased DLI risks in Guadalcanal Province (IRR: 4.537, 95% CI: 2.042-10.083), whereas El Niño associated with risk reduction ranging from 72.8% to 76.7% in both provinces.
conclusionsOwing to the effects of climate variability and ENSO on DLI, defining suitable and sustainable measures to control dengue transmission and enhancing community resilience against climate change in low- and middle-developed countries are important.
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