Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37024451›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Early indicators of tidal ecosystem shifts in estuaries.

Gregory S Fivash, Stijn Temmerman, Maarten G Kleinhans, Maike Heuner, Tjisse van der Heide, Tjeerd J Bouma

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Recommendations for the development of erosion-resistant tidal marshes to enhance nature-based flood risk mitigation.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Plant species, inundation, and sediment grain size control the development of sediment stability in tidal marshes.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Gregory S FivashDepartment of Estuarine and Delta Systems, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Yerseke, The Netherlands. greg.fivash@nioz.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0767-7036
Stijn TemmermanEcosystem Management Research Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3346-9115
Maarten G KleinhansDepartment of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9484-1673
Maike HeunerDepartment of Vegetation Studies and Landscape Management, Federal Institute of Hydrology, Koblenz, Germany.
Tjisse van der HeideGroningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, Community and Conservation Ecology Group, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3664-8904
Tjeerd J BoumaDepartment of Estuarine and Delta Systems, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Yerseke, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Forecasting transitions between tidal ecosystem states, such as between bare tidal flats and vegetated marshes, is crucial because it may imply the irreversible loss of valuable ecosystem services. In this study, we combine geospatial analyses of three European estuaries with a simple numerical model to demonstrate that the development of micro-topographic patterning on tidal flats is an early indicator of marsh establishment. We first show that the development of micro-topographic patterns precedes vegetation establishment, and that patterns tend to form only on tidal flats with a slope of <0.3 degrees. Numerical modelling then provides an explanation for the formation of micro-topography due to the natural concentration of draining surface water over very gentle slopes. We find this early indicator to be robust across three estuaries where anthropogenic deepening and narrowing has occurred in recent decades, which may suggest its broader applicability to other estuaries with similar morphological management.

Identifiers

PMID37024451
PMCPMC10079839

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.